# Ameren (AEE) Forecast Calculator

Interactive five-year financial forecast and DCF for Ameren. Adjust revenue growth, margins, capex, and WACC to update revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value.

- Canonical: https://finamodel.com/companies/ameren/forecast
- Industry: Utilities
- Forecast start year: 2026

## Historical data

| Year | Revenue | Free cash flow | EBITDA | Net income |
|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| 2021 | 5910000000 | -241000000 | 2269000000 | 834000000 |
| 2022 | 5794000000 | -1506000000 | 2453000000 | 877000000 |
| 2023 | 6394000000 | -1818000000 | 2552000000 | 995000000 |
| 2024 | 7957000000 | -1088000000 | 2888000000 | 1079000000 |
| 2025 | 7500000000 | -1033000000 | 2990000000 | 1157000000 |

## Frequently asked questions

### What is Ameren's core business model and how does it generate revenue?

Ameren Corporation operates as a public utility holding company, providing electric and natural gas services across Missouri and Illinois. Its business model is heavily regulated and asset-intensive, with earnings primarily driven by capital investments in infrastructure that earn a regulated return on equity.

### How does Ameren's regulated utility business generate revenue, particularly for Ameren Missouri?

For a regulated utility like Ameren, revenue is a function of recovering operating costs and earning a return on invested capital, also known as the rate base. Specifically for Ameren Missouri, revenue is driven by a formula that includes the average rate base, equity ratio, allowed return on equity, interest expense, operating & maintenance costs, depreciation, and fuel costs.

### What is Ameren's capital expenditure strategy and how does it impact the company's growth?

Ameren has an extremely high capital expenditure profile, typically reinvesting 40-50% of its revenue back into the grid. The company has a massive $31.8 billion infrastructure investment plan for 2025 through 2030, which is expected to drive a 10.6% compound annual growth rate in its rate base.

### What are the key revenue growth and margin assumptions used in Ameren's financial model?

The financial model for Ameren assumes a revenue growth rate of approximately 6.14%. Key margin assumptions include Cost of Goods Sold at 55% of revenue, Selling, General & Administrative expenses at 15% of revenue, and Depreciation & Amortization at about 18.45% of revenue.

### What is the purpose of the Ameren financial model and what does it help assess?

The Ameren financial model is designed to project the company's future earnings, cash flows, and rate base growth. Its primary purpose is to determine equity valuation and assess the sustainability of Ameren's dividend program for utility sector equity investors.

### Can I download an Excel financial model for Ameren (AEE) and what is its forecast horizon?

Yes, an Excel financial model for Ameren (AEE) is available for download. This model provides financial projections with a forecast horizon spanning from fiscal year 2026 through fiscal year 2030.