# Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) Forecast Calculator

Interactive five-year financial forecast and DCF for Archer Daniels Midland. Adjust revenue growth, margins, capex, and WACC to update revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value.

- Canonical: https://finamodel.com/companies/archer-daniels-midland/forecast
- Industry: Staples
- Forecast start year: 2026

## Historical data

| Year | Revenue | Free cash flow | EBITDA | Net income |
|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| 2021 | 64656000000 | -6280000000 | 2581000000 | 1379000000 |
| 2022 | 64355000000 | -3209000000 | 2859000000 | 1772000000 |
| 2023 | 85249000000 | 5426000000 | 4309000000 | 2709000000 |
| 2024 | 27606000000 | 2159000000 | 6261000000 | 4340000000 |
| 2025 | 25691000000 | 2966000000 | 5353000000 | 3483000000 |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) do?

Archer Daniels Midland is a global leader in human and animal nutrition and one of the world's premier agricultural origination and processing companies. It connects crops to markets on six continents, processing oilseeds, corn, wheat, and other agricultural commodities into food, beverage, industrial, and animal feed products.

### What are the main revenue segments for Archer Daniels Midland?

Archer Daniels Midland operates through three primary segments: Ag Services and Oilseeds, which contributes approximately 75% to 80% of total revenue, Carbohydrate Solutions, accounting for 14% to 16%, and Nutrition, making up 8% to 9%. The company's extensive global footprint and processing capabilities drive its diverse revenue streams.

### What is Archer Daniels Midland's typical capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue?

Archer Daniels Midland's capital expenditure historically ranges from 1.3% to 2.0% of revenue, translating to an annual investment of $1.2 billion to $1.6 billion. Approximately 60% of this capex is for maintenance, while 40% is allocated to growth initiatives such as expanding crush capacity and investing in decarbonisation facilities.

### How does net working capital impact Archer Daniels Midland's financial model?

Net working capital for Archer Daniels Midland is positive and highly variable, requiring significant capital to fund inventory, especially when commodity prices rise. The company's working capital profile includes Days Sales Outstanding of 15 to 25 days, Days Inventory Outstanding of 40 to 50 days, and Days Payable Outstanding of 20 to 30 days.

### What is the purpose of the Archer Daniels Midland financial model?

The financial model for Archer Daniels Midland provides a comprehensive equity valuation and scenario planning tool. It is designed to assess the impact of factors such as normalizing crush margins, biofuel policy clarity, and the operational recovery of the Nutrition segment on the company's intrinsic value.

### Can I download an Excel financial model for Archer Daniels Midland?

Yes, an Excel financial model for Archer Daniels Midland is available for download. This model provides a forecast horizon from FY2026 to FY2030 and includes key assumptions for revenue growth, cost of goods sold, and other operational metrics relevant to the company's financial performance.