# Builders FirstSource (BLDR) Forecast Calculator

Interactive five-year financial forecast and DCF for Builders FirstSource. Adjust revenue growth, margins, capex, and WACC to update revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value.

- Canonical: https://finamodel.com/companies/builders-firstsource/forecast
- Industry: Industrials
- Forecast start year: 2026

## Historical data

| Year | Revenue | Free cash flow | EBITDA | Net income |
|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| 2021 | 7280431000 | 391176000 | 492344000 | 221809000 |
| 2022 | 8558874000 | 147985000 | 660420000 | 313537000 |
| 2023 | 19893856000 | 1515658000 | 2934776000 | 1725416000 |
| 2024 | 22726418000 | 3259079000 | 4267346000 | 2749369000 |
| 2025 | 17097330000 | 1830537000 | 2734594000 | 1540555000 |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does Builders FirstSource (BLDR) do?

Builders FirstSource is the largest US supplier of building products, prefabricated components, and value-added services for new residential construction and repair and remodeling. They operate a vertically integrated business model, combining distribution with manufacturing of structural components like roof and floor trusses.

### What are the primary revenue drivers for Builders FirstSource?

Builders FirstSource's revenue is highly sensitive to macro housing cycles, particularly US housing starts, and commodity lumber prices. The company's asset-heavy distribution and light manufacturing model has significant exposure to high-growth Sunbelt states.

### What is Builders FirstSource's typical capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue?

Builders FirstSource typically guides capital expenditure as 2.0% to 3.0% of revenue, with recent years seeing $350M to $450M. Approximately 40% of this is for maintenance, such as fleet replacement, while 60% is for growth initiatives like new truss plants and automation equipment.

### What is the purpose of the Builders FirstSource (BLDR) financial model?

The Builders FirstSource financial model serves as a comprehensive equity valuation and scenario planning tool. It helps assess how fluctuations in US housing starts, commodity lumber prices, and aggressive share repurchases impact the company's free cash flow generation and intrinsic value.

### Can I download an Excel financial model for Builders FirstSource (BLDR)?

Yes, a downloadable Excel financial model for Builders FirstSource (BLDR) is available. This model provides a forecast horizon from FY2026 to FY2030 and is designed for general corporate analysis.

### How does Builders FirstSource's working capital profile affect its cash flow?

Builders FirstSource maintains a positive working capital profile, typically 8% to 12% of revenue. This dynamic means the company consumes cash when commodity prices for inventory rise and releases cash when commodity prices fall.