# C.H. Robinson (CHRW) Forecast Calculator

Interactive five-year financial forecast and DCF for C.H. Robinson. Adjust revenue growth, margins, capex, and WACC to update revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value.

- Canonical: https://finamodel.com/companies/c-h-robinson/forecast
- Industry: Industrials
- Forecast start year: 2026

## Historical data

| Year | Revenue | Free cash flow | EBITDA | Net income |
|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| 2021 | 15309508000 | 799129000 | 890425000 | 576968000 |
| 2022 | 16207106000 | 476058000 | 774995000 | 506421000 |
| 2023 | 23102138000 | 60758000 | 1173367000 | 844245000 |
| 2024 | 24696625000 | 1588256000 | 1359558000 | 940524000 |
| 2025 | 17596443000 | 701957000 | 613592000 | 325129000 |

## Frequently asked questions

### What is C.H. Robinson's primary business model?

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. is one of the world's largest third-party logistics (3PL) providers, offering freight transportation, supply chain management, and brokerage services. The company operates an asset-light model, leveraging a massive network of over 450,000 contract carriers rather than owning its own transportation assets.

### How does C.H. Robinson generate revenue, and what are its main segments?

C.H. Robinson generates revenue primarily through its North American Surface Transportation (NAST) and Global Forwarding segments. NAST revenue is driven by truckload and LTL volumes and prices, while Global Forwarding revenue is influenced by ocean TEUs and air freight tonnage. The company also has an 'All Other and Corporate' segment, including Robinson Fresh.

### What is the assumed revenue growth rate for C.H. Robinson in the financial model?

The financial model for C.H. Robinson assumes a revenue growth rate of approximately 3.54% across the forecast horizon from FY2026 to FY2030. This assumption helps project the company's top-line performance through varying market conditions.

### What is C.H. Robinson's capital expenditure strategy, and how is it reflected in the financial model?

C.H. Robinson maintains an extremely asset-light business model, with capital expenditures primarily focused on technology investments like Navisphere, generative AI, and automated pricing algorithms. The financial model reflects this with a low Capex as a percentage of revenue, set at approximately 0.19%.

### How does C.H. Robinson's working capital profile impact its cash flow?

C.H. Robinson's working capital profile is positive, typically representing 5% to 8% of gross revenues, because the company must pay carriers faster than it collects from shippers. Consequently, working capital consumes cash during periods of rapid revenue growth and releases cash during freight recessions.

### What is the purpose of the downloadable C.H. Robinson financial model?

The downloadable Excel model provides a comprehensive equity valuation and operational forecasting tool for C.H. Robinson. Its purpose is to determine if the company's 'Lean AI' productivity initiatives and cost-cutting measures can drive sustained operating leverage and margin expansion through the highly cyclical freight market.