# Constellation Brands (STZ) Forecast Calculator

Interactive five-year financial forecast and DCF for Constellation Brands. Adjust revenue growth, margins, capex, and WACC to update revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value.

- Canonical: https://finamodel.com/companies/constellation-brands/forecast
- Industry: Staples
- Forecast start year: 2027

## Historical data

| Year | Revenue | Free cash flow | EBITDA | Net income |
|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| 2022 | 8343500000 | 1824600000 | 2486700000 | -11800000 |
| 2023 | 8614900000 | 1941900000 | 3090200000 | 1998000000 |
| 2024 | 8820700000 | 1678600000 | 2674100000 | -40400000 |
| 2025 | 9452600000 | 1721500000 | 3229900000 | -71000000 |
| 2026 | 9961800000 | 1510900000 | 3598900000 | 1727400000 |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does Constellation Brands (STZ) do and what are its main products?

Constellation Brands is a leading international producer and marketer of beer, wine, and spirits, primarily serving the United States market. Its business is dominated by its Beer segment, which accounts for approximately 83% of net sales, with the remaining 17% from Wine & Spirits.

### What drives Constellation Brands' revenue growth, particularly in its Beer segment?

Constellation Brands' revenue growth is primarily driven by its high-growth Beer segment, particularly its premium brands like Modelo Especial, which recently became the #1 selling beer brand in the US by dollar sales. The company focuses on premiumization and market share gains in the high-end beer category.

### What is Constellation Brands' capital expenditure strategy and how does it impact its financial model?

Constellation Brands has a highly elevated capital expenditure program, with capex as a percentage of revenue typically ranging from 7% to 10%. The company is currently executing a $3 billion program from FY2025-FY2028 to expand its Mexican brewery infrastructure, with roughly 80% of this being growth capex.

### How did the recent goodwill impairment impact Constellation Brands' balance sheet and valuation considerations?

Constellation Brands recorded a massive $1.5 to $2.5 billion non-cash goodwill impairment charge in its Wine & Spirits segment in FY2025, significantly reducing its historically high goodwill and intangibles on the balance sheet. This event highlights the challenges in the Wine & Spirits segment and impacts future asset base assumptions for valuation.

### How does Constellation Brands manage its net working capital, and what is its typical profile?

Constellation Brands operates with relatively tight working capital, often showing a slightly positive to neutral net working capital as a percentage of revenue. While strong supplier terms help fund inventory, the wine segment's aging requirements necessitate structural inventory investment.

### Can I download an Excel financial model for Constellation Brands (STZ) to analyze its future performance?

Yes, an Excel financial model for Constellation Brands (STZ) is available for download, forecasting performance from FY2027 through FY2031. This model helps analysts evaluate the company's equity valuation and cash flow generation, considering key assumptions like revenue growth and capital expenditures.