# Expand Energy (EXE) Forecast Calculator

Interactive five-year financial forecast and DCF for Expand Energy. Adjust revenue growth, margins, capex, and WACC to update revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value.

- Canonical: https://finamodel.com/companies/expand-energy/forecast
- Industry: Energy
- Forecast start year: 2026

## Historical data

| Year | Revenue | Free cash flow | EBITDA | Net income |
|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| 2021 | 8532000000 |  -  | 2233000000 | -308000000 |
| 2022 | 5240000000 | 22000000 | -7606000000 | -9734000000 |
| 2023 | 260000000 | -87000000 | -162000000 | 5383000000 |
| 2024 | 11743000000 | 2302000000 | 5533000000 | 4936000000 |
| 2025 | 8721000000 | 551000000 | 4669000000 | 2419000000 |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does Expand Energy (EXE) do as a company?

Expand Energy is the largest independent natural gas exploration and production company in the United States. It focuses on developing unconventional assets in premium basins, extracting natural gas, oil, and natural gas liquids for sale to marketers and utility customers.

### What are the primary revenue drivers for Expand Energy (EXE)?

Expand Energy's revenue is predominantly driven by the sale of natural gas, which accounts for 85-90% of its total revenue, supplemented by oil and natural gas liquids. The company benefits from unmatched scale as the largest US natural gas producer and its strategic proximity to Gulf Coast LNG export markets.

### What capital expenditure assumptions are used in the Expand Energy financial model?

The Expand Energy financial model incorporates a Capex_Pct_Revenue assumption of approximately 20.9% for its forecast horizon. This reflects the company's asset-heavy business model, where a significant portion of capital expenditure is dedicated to maintenance activities to offset the natural decline rates of shale wells.

### What growth assumptions are applied in the Expand Energy financial model?

The Expand Energy financial model uses a Revenue_Growth assumption of approximately 0.55% for its forecast horizon, spanning from FY2026 to FY2030. This assumption helps project the company's future top-line performance following its recent transformational merger and integration efforts.

### What is the purpose of the Expand Energy financial model and what does it evaluate?

The Expand Energy financial model is designed to evaluate the company's equity valuation, its capacity for generating free cash flow, and its ability to pay down debt. It provides a comprehensive analytical framework for understanding the financial implications of its operations and strategic position.

### Can I download an Excel financial model for Expand Energy (EXE)?

Yes, an Excel financial model for Expand Energy (EXE) is available for download. This general corporate model provides a forecast horizon from FY2026 to FY2030, allowing users to analyze key financial metrics and assumptions for the company.