# Expeditors International (EXPD) Forecast Calculator

Interactive five-year financial forecast and DCF for Expeditors International. Adjust revenue growth, margins, capex, and WACC to update revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value.

- Canonical: https://finamodel.com/companies/expeditors-international/forecast
- Industry: Industrials
- Forecast start year: 2026

## Historical data

| Year | Revenue | Free cash flow | EBITDA | Net income |
|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| 2021 | 7942417000 | 724667000 | 817642000 | 590395000 |
| 2022 | 9584393000 | 607426000 | 997396000 | 696140000 |
| 2023 | 16523517000 | 832247000 | 1960638000 | 1415492000 |
| 2024 | 17071284000 | 2042851000 | 1881709000 | 1357399000 |
| 2025 | 9300110000 | 1013877000 | 1007693000 | 752883000 |

## Frequently asked questions

### What is Expeditors International's business model?

Expeditors International is an asset-light global logistics provider headquartered in Seattle, Washington. The company purchases cargo space from airlines and ocean carriers in bulk and resells it to customers, while also providing customs brokerage and supply chain management services.

### How does Expeditors International generate its revenue?

Expeditors generates revenue primarily through its Airfreight Services, Ocean Freight and Ocean Services, and Customs Brokerage and Other Services segments. For freight forwarders like Expeditors, "Net Revenue" (Gross Revenue minus the cost of transportation) is the primary metric of value creation.

### What are the key assumptions in the Expeditors International financial model?

The financial model for Expeditors International includes key assumptions such as Revenue Growth at approximately 4%, COGS as 55% of Revenue, and a Tax Rate of about 26%. Other significant assumptions cover SGA, DA, and Capex as percentages of revenue.

### How does Expeditors International's working capital profile impact its cash flow?

Expeditors International maintains a positive Net Working Capital, characterized by a DSO of 45-55 days and DPO of 35-45 days. This profile means that rapid revenue growth consumes cash because the company pays carriers slightly faster than it collects from shippers, while revenue contraction releases cash.

### What is the purpose of the financial model for Expeditors International?

The financial model provides a comprehensive equity valuation and scenario analysis framework for Expeditors International (EXPD). It enables an analyst to forecast earnings and cash flows based on global trade volumes, freight rate volatility, and the company's asset-light cost structure.

### Can I download an Excel financial model for Expeditors International?

Yes, a downloadable Excel financial model is available for Expeditors International (EXPD). This model offers a forecast horizon from FY2026 to FY2030, providing a detailed framework for financial analysis and valuation.