# Henry Schein (HSIC) Forecast Calculator

Interactive five-year financial forecast and DCF for Henry Schein. Adjust revenue growth, margins, capex, and WACC to update revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value.

- Canonical: https://finamodel.com/companies/henry-schein/forecast
- Industry: Healthcare
- Forecast start year: 2026

## Historical data

| Year | Revenue | Free cash flow | EBITDA | Net income |
|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| 2021 | 9985803000 | 577868000 | 903203000 | 694734000 |
| 2022 | 10119000000 | 550000000 | 721000000 | 404000000 |
| 2023 | 12401000000 | 631000000 | 1062000000 | 631000000 |
| 2024 | 12647000000 | 506000000 | 959000000 | 538000000 |
| 2025 | 12339000000 | 353000000 | 863000000 | 416000000 |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does Henry Schein do?

Henry Schein, Inc. is the world's largest provider of health care solutions for office-based dental and medical practitioners. The company distributes over 300,000 products and is increasingly focusing on high-margin software, e-services, and specialty medical devices. Its main business segments include Global Distribution, Global Specialty Products, and Global Technology.

### What are the primary revenue drivers for Henry Schein?

Henry Schein's revenue is primarily driven by its vast global supply chain network distributing dental and medical products. Growth is also increasingly fueled by its strategic pivot towards higher-margin technology solutions like practice management software and specialty medical devices, as outlined in its BOLD+1 plan. The company also holds significant market share in dental distribution across key geographies.

### What are the key financial model assumptions for Henry Schein's growth and margins?

Key assumptions in a financial model for Henry Schein include an annual revenue growth rate of approximately 5.4%. The model also assumes a cost of goods sold at roughly 70% of revenue and selling, general, and administrative expenses at about 22.3% of revenue. These assumptions help evaluate the company's profitability and operational efficiency.

### How does Henry Schein's strategic shift impact its gross margins?

Henry Schein's strategic shift, known as the BOLD+1 plan, aims to pivot towards higher-margin technology and specialty products. This initiative is designed to offset gross margin pressures experienced in its core distribution business. The financial model evaluates whether this shift will successfully enhance overall profitability.

### What is the forecast horizon for the Henry Schein financial model?

The Henry Schein financial model provides a comprehensive forecast horizon spanning from Fiscal Year 2026 through Fiscal Year 2030. This extended period allows for a detailed analysis of the company's financial performance and strategic initiatives. The model is designed for equity valuation and scenario planning.

### Can I download an Excel financial model for Henry Schein?

Yes, an Excel financial model for Henry Schein is available for download. This general corporate model provides tools for comprehensive equity valuation and scenario planning. It allows users to evaluate the impact of Henry Schein's strategic shift on its financial performance.