# Hilton Worldwide (HLT) Forecast Calculator

Interactive five-year financial forecast and DCF for Hilton Worldwide. Adjust revenue growth, margins, capex, and WACC to update revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value.

- Canonical: https://finamodel.com/companies/hilton-worldwide/forecast
- Industry: Consumer
- Forecast start year: 2026

## Historical data

| Year | Revenue | Free cash flow | EBITDA | Net income |
|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| 2021 | 9452000000 | 1303000000 | 2003000000 | 881000000 |
| 2022 | 4307000000 | 662000000 | -87000000 | -715000000 |
| 2023 | 5788000000 | 74000000 | 1198000000 | 410000000 |
| 2024 | 8773000000 | 1642000000 | 2256000000 | 1255000000 |
| 2025 | 10235000000 | 1795000000 | 2372000000 | 1141000000 |

## Frequently asked questions

### What is Hilton Worldwide's primary business model?

Hilton Worldwide operates as a leading global hospitality company, primarily franchising and managing hotels and resorts under 25 distinct brands. It employs an asset-light business model where independent third-party owners fund hotel construction, allowing Hilton to collect percentage-based fees on room revenue.

### How does Hilton Worldwide generate most of its revenue?

The vast majority of Hilton Worldwide's core revenue and earnings are generated through its Management and Franchise segments. The company collects percentage-based fees from independent third-party owners based on room revenue, rather than owning most of the physical hotel assets.

### Why does Hilton Worldwide typically have negative net working capital?

Hilton Worldwide structurally maintains negative net working capital due to its operational model. The company collects franchise fees and loyalty program funds upfront, which creates a working capital advantage that helps fund its growth initiatives.

### What is Hilton Worldwide's capital expenditure strategy?

Hilton's capital expenditure is minimal, less than 2% of total revenue, with the majority directed towards growth capex for corporate IT, reservation systems, and software development. The company also capitalizes significant internal software development costs, which are amortized over 3 to 5 years.

### What is the main purpose of the Hilton Worldwide financial model?

The financial model aims to project Hilton Worldwide's future cash flows and earnings to determine an intrinsic equity valuation. It also assesses the company's capacity for continued share repurchases under its asset-light business model.

### Can I download an Excel financial model for Hilton Worldwide?

Yes, a downloadable Excel financial model is available for Hilton Worldwide. This model provides financial projections for the forecast horizon of FY2026–FY2030, allowing for detailed analysis of the company's future performance.