# Lowe's (LOW) Forecast Calculator

Interactive five-year financial forecast and DCF for Lowe's. Adjust revenue growth, margins, capex, and WACC to update revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value.

- Canonical: https://finamodel.com/companies/lowes/forecast
- Industry: Consumer
- Forecast start year: 2026

## Historical data

| Year | Revenue | Free cash flow | EBITDA | Net income |
|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| 2021 | 72148000000 | 2812000000 | 7724000000 | 4281000000 |
| 2022 | 89597000000 | 9258000000 | 11241000000 | 5835000000 |
| 2023 | 96250000000 | 8260000000 | 13975000000 | 8442000000 |
| 2024 | 97059000000 | 6760000000 | 12140000000 | 6437000000 |
| 2025 | 86377000000 | 6176000000 | 13480000000 | 7726000000 |

## Frequently asked questions

### What is Lowe's core business and customer focus?

Lowe's is the second-largest home improvement retailer globally, operating over 1,700 stores in the United States. It serves both Do-It-Yourself homeowners and Professional customers, offering products for maintenance, repair, remodelling, and decorating.

### How does Lowe's generate revenue, and what are its key growth strategies?

Lowe's generates revenue through sales across three primary product categories: Building & Maintenance, Décor, and Hardlines. The company is heavily focused on its "Total Home Strategy" to drive Pro customer penetration and has made recent acquisitions like Foundation Building Materials and Artisan Design Group to accelerate this growth.

### What is Lowe's typical capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue, and what does it fund?

Lowe's typically allocates 2.5% to 3.0% of its revenue towards capital expenditures, amounting to approximately $2.0 billion to $2.5 billion annually. These investments are split between maintenance (store refreshes, IT upkeep) and growth initiatives like supply chain expansion, omnichannel technology, and new store formats.

### What is the purpose of the Lowe's financial model, and what key areas does it assess?

The Lowe's financial model serves as a comprehensive equity valuation and scenario planning tool. It assesses how the company's strategic shift towards Pro customers, supply chain investments, and recent acquisitions will impact long-term earnings and free cash flow generation.

### Can I download an Excel model for Lowe's, and what forecast horizon does it cover?

Yes, an Excel model for Lowe's is available for download. This model provides a forecast horizon covering fiscal years 2026 through 2030, allowing for detailed analysis of future performance.

### What is Lowe's working capital profile, and is it typically positive or negative?

Lowe's operates with a negative to neutral net working capital profile, primarily due to its efficient use of vendor financing. The company funds its inventory through accounts payable, resulting in very low Days Sales Outstanding and Days Payable Outstanding.