# LyondellBasell (LYB) Forecast Calculator

Interactive five-year financial forecast and DCF for LyondellBasell. Adjust revenue growth, margins, capex, and WACC to update revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value.

- Canonical: https://finamodel.com/companies/lyondellbasell/forecast
- Industry: Materials
- Forecast start year: 2026

## Historical data

| Year | Revenue | Free cash flow | EBITDA | Net income |
|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| 2021 | 33908000000 | 2267000000 | 5428000000 | 3397000000 |
| 2022 | 26995000000 | 1457000000 | 2944000000 | 1427000000 |
| 2023 | 46173000000 | 5736000000 | 8166000000 | 5617000000 |
| 2024 | 50451000000 | 4229000000 | 6368000000 | 3889000000 |
| 2025 | 33336000000 | 3411000000 | 4259000000 | 2121000000 |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does LyondellBasell do?

LyondellBasell is a global multinational chemical company and one of the world's largest producers of plastics, chemicals, and refining products. It converts raw materials like ethane and crude oil into essential petrochemical building blocks such as ethylene and propylene, which are then processed into polyolefins.

### What are the main revenue drivers for LyondellBasell?

LyondellBasell's revenue is primarily driven by its asset-heavy operations, leveraging the cost advantage of US natural gas liquids compared to global oil-based feedstocks. The company's performance is also significantly influenced by cyclical global feedstock spreads and the growth of its Circular and Low Carbon Solutions (CLCS) segment.

### What is LyondellBasell's typical capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue?

LyondellBasell historically allocates 5% to 7% of its revenue towards capital expenditures, which translates to approximately $1.8 billion to $2.2 billion annually. This spending is roughly 60% for maintenance and turnaround costs and 40% for growth and sustainability projects, including new chemical recycling facilities.

### What key factors are considered when valuing LyondellBasell's equity?

When evaluating LyondellBasell's equity valuation and cash flow generation, key factors include its performance through a full-cycle petrochemical environment. The model specifically assesses the earnings impact of its Houston refinery closure, the growth of its Circular and Low Carbon Solutions, and its cyclical exposure to global feedstock spreads.

### Can I download an Excel financial model for LyondellBasell?

Yes, an Excel financial model for LyondellBasell (LYB) is available for download. This general corporate model provides a forecast horizon from FY2026 to FY2030, allowing for detailed analysis of the company's future financial performance.

### What is the assumed revenue growth rate in the LyondellBasell financial model?

The financial model for LyondellBasell assumes a revenue growth rate of approximately -0.42% over the forecast horizon. This reflects the company's cyclical business environment and strategic adjustments, including the impact of its Houston refinery ceasing operations.