# Mosaic (MOS) Forecast Calculator

Interactive five-year financial forecast and DCF for Mosaic. Adjust revenue growth, margins, capex, and WACC to update revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value.

- Canonical: https://finamodel.com/companies/mosaic/forecast
- Industry: Materials
- Forecast start year: 2026

## Historical data

| Year | Revenue | Free cash flow | EBITDA | Net income |
|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| 2021 | 8906300000 | -176800000 | -212200000 | -1067400000 |
| 2022 | 8681700000 | 412000000 | 1260500000 | 666100000 |
| 2023 | 12357400000 | 898400000 | 3281400000 | 1630600000 |
| 2024 | 19125200000 | 2688500000 | 5719200000 | 3582800000 |
| 2025 | 13696100000 | 1004800000 | 2298700000 | 1164900000 |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does The Mosaic Company (MOS) do?

The Mosaic Company is a leading global producer and marketer of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. It mines, processes, and distributes essential fertilizers primarily in North America and Brazil for global agriculture.

### What are the main revenue drivers for Mosaic's Phosphates segment?

Revenue in Mosaic's Phosphates segment is primarily driven by sales volumes and the average realized price per tonne of products like DAP and MAP. These are influenced by global grain stocks, Chinese export quotas, and raw material costs such as ammonia and sulfur.

### What is a key capital expenditure assumption in the financial model for The Mosaic Company?

A key assumption for The Mosaic Company's financial model is capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue, estimated at approximately 10.99%. This annual spend is typically split with about 60% allocated to maintenance, including environmental costs, and 40% to growth and efficiency projects.

### What is the primary purpose of the financial model for The Mosaic Company?

The financial model for The Mosaic Company aims to provide a comprehensive forecast and valuation framework to determine the intrinsic equity value of the company. It allows equity research analysts to assess if the stock is mispriced relative to the cyclical mid-cycle earnings power of its global fertilizer operations.

### Is an Excel financial model available for The Mosaic Company (MOS)?

Yes, a downloadable Excel financial model is available for The Mosaic Company (MOS). This model provides a detailed three-statement forecast and valuation framework for analysis, covering a forecast horizon from FY2026 to FY2030.

### How does working capital impact The Mosaic Company's operations?

The Mosaic Company has a positive working capital profile, requiring significant capital to build inventory ahead of planting seasons. This can be a major use of cash, especially in inflationary environments, as the company maintains 60 to 80 days of inventory.