# Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) Forecast Calculator

Interactive five-year financial forecast and DCF for Packaging Corporation of America. Adjust revenue growth, margins, capex, and WACC to update revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value.

- Canonical: https://finamodel.com/companies/packaging-corporation-of-america/forecast
- Industry: Materials
- Forecast start year: 2026

## Historical data

| Year | Revenue | Free cash flow | EBITDA | Net income |
|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| 2021 | 6964300000 | 807900000 | 1441200000 | 696400000 |
| 2022 | 6658200000 | 611600000 | 1133900000 | 461000000 |
| 2023 | 7730300000 | 489000000 | 1658900000 | 841100000 |
| 2024 | 8478000000 | 670800000 | 1877500000 | 1029800000 |
| 2025 | 7802400000 | 845400000 | 1592800000 | 765200000 |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) do?

Packaging Corporation of America (PCA) is a leading North American manufacturer of containerboard and corrugated packaging products, as well as uncoated freesheet paper. The company operates a vertically integrated network of mills and plants to convert raw materials into finished packaging solutions.

### What are the primary revenue drivers for Packaging Corporation of America?

PCA's revenue is predominantly driven by its Packaging segment, which accounts for approximately 92% of its total revenue. The company's financial performance is also significantly influenced by cyclical containerboard pricing and the overall demand for corrugated packaging products.

### What is Packaging Corporation of America's typical capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue?

Packaging Corporation of America typically allocates 8-10% of its revenue to capital expenditures. Approximately 60% of this capex is for maintenance, while the remaining 40% is directed towards growth initiatives such as machine conversions and energy independence projects.

### What are key considerations for an equity valuation of Packaging Corporation of America?

Key considerations for an equity valuation of PCA include the company's ability to successfully integrate recent acquisitions, such as the Greif containerboard business. Analysts should also assess its capacity to manage cyclical containerboard pricing and consistently generate free cash flow for shareholder returns.

### What is the purpose of the downloadable financial model for Packaging Corporation of America?

The downloadable financial model for Packaging Corporation of America serves as a comprehensive tool for equity valuation and scenario planning. It helps analysts evaluate the company's strategic initiatives, including acquisition integration and free cash flow generation.

### How has Packaging Corporation of America's balance sheet been impacted by recent events?

As of late 2025, PCA's total assets were approximately $11.0 billion, with goodwill and intangibles representing 15-20% of this total. This proportion significantly increased due to a $1.2 billion goodwill addition from the $1.8 billion Greif acquisition completed in September 2025.