# Philip Morris International (PM) Forecast Calculator

Interactive five-year financial forecast and DCF for Philip Morris International. Adjust revenue growth, margins, capex, and WACC to update revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value.

- Canonical: https://finamodel.com/companies/philip-morris-international/forecast
- Industry: Staples
- Forecast start year: 2026

## Historical data

| Year | Revenue | Free cash flow | EBITDA | Net income |
|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| 2021 | 29805000000 | 9238000000 | 11495000000 | 7185000000 |
| 2022 | 28694000000 | 9210000000 | 11668000000 | 8056000000 |
| 2023 | 31405000000 | 11219000000 | 13973000000 | 9109000000 |
| 2024 | 31762000000 | 9726000000 | 13323000000 | 9048000000 |
| 2025 | 35174000000 | 7883000000 | 12954000000 | 7813000000 |

## Frequently asked questions

### What does Philip Morris International do, and what is its strategic focus?

Philip Morris International (PMI) is a leading international tobacco company engaged in the manufacture and sale of cigarettes, smoke-free products, and associated electronic devices. The company is actively transitioning its business model away from traditional combustible cigarettes towards scientifically substantiated smoke-free alternatives, aiming for these to represent over two-thirds of total net revenues by 2030.

### What are the primary revenue drivers for Philip Morris International?

PMI's revenue is driven by sales from its Combustibles segment, which currently accounts for approximately 60% of net revenues, and its Smoke-Free Products segment, contributing about 40%. The company aims for smoke-free products, including Heat-Not-Burn, Oral Nicotine, and E-Vapor, to become the dominant revenue driver by 2030.

### What is Philip Morris International's capital expenditure strategy?

Philip Morris International's capital expenditure (Capex) as a percentage of revenue is projected to be between 3.0% and 4.5%. This capex is heavily skewed towards growth, with roughly 70% dedicated to expanding ZYN capacity in the US and IQOS consumable manufacturing facilities globally.

### How does Philip Morris International's working capital profile impact its cash flow generation?

Philip Morris International exhibits a structurally negative or very low net working capital as a percentage of revenue. This is because the company collects cash from sales faster than it pays suppliers and remits excise taxes, which positively contributes to its cash flow generation capacity.

### Can I download a financial model for Philip Morris International, and what is its purpose?

Yes, a downloadable Excel model is available for Philip Morris International (PMI). This model evaluates PMI's equity valuation and cash flow generation capacity, specifically focusing on the pace of its transition to high-margin, smoke-free products to justify its premium valuation.

### What is Philip Morris International's competitive position in the smoke-free product market?

Philip Morris International holds a strong competitive position as the undisputed global leader in heated tobacco with IQOS, commanding over 75% category share worldwide. Additionally, the company is the US market leader in oral nicotine pouches with its ZYN product.