# Republic Services (RSG) Forecast Calculator

Interactive five-year financial forecast and DCF for Republic Services. Adjust revenue growth, margins, capex, and WACC to update revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value.

- Canonical: https://finamodel.com/companies/republic-services/forecast
- Industry: Industrials
- Forecast start year: 2026

## Historical data

| Year | Revenue | Free cash flow | EBITDA | Net income |
|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| 2021 | 10299400000 | 1145000000 | 2827700000 | 1073286000 |
| 2022 | 10153600000 | 1277000000 | 2785000000 | 967237000 |
| 2023 | 11295000000 | 1470400000 | 3261700000 | 1290405000 |
| 2024 | 13511000000 | 1736000000 | 3744000000 | 1487586000 |
| 2025 | 14965000000 | 1987000000 | 4281000000 | 1730985000 |

## Frequently asked questions

### What services does Republic Services (RSG) provide?

Republic Services is a leading provider of environmental services in North America, offering solid waste collection, transfer, disposal, recycling, and environmental solutions. The company operates a vertically integrated, asset-heavy business model, with approximately 80% of its revenue considered recurring.

### What are the primary revenue drivers for Republic Services?

Republic Services' revenue is primarily driven by its Collection segment, which accounts for approximately 68% of total revenue, alongside contributions from Landfill, Environmental Solutions, Transfer, and Recycling. The company benefits from highly predictable, annuity-like revenue streams, influenced by pricing power, volume trends, and cyclical environmental solutions work.

### What is Republic Services' typical capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue?

Republic Services consistently allocates 10-12% of its revenue to capital expenditures. Approximately 70% of this capex is for maintenance, such as fleet replacement and landfill cell construction, while 30% is for growth initiatives like Polymer Centers and renewable natural gas facilities.

### What is the assumed revenue growth rate for Republic Services in the financial model?

The financial model for Republic Services assumes a revenue growth rate of approximately 9.79%. This assumption helps forecast the company's top-line performance over the FY2026–FY2030 forecast horizon.

### How does the financial model for Republic Services assess its intrinsic value?

The financial model evaluates Republic Services' equity valuation and free cash flow generation. It allows an analyst to assess the impact of factors such as pricing power, volume trends, cyclical environmental solutions work, and ongoing M&A roll-ups on the company's long-term intrinsic value.

### Can I download an Excel financial model for Republic Services?

Yes, a downloadable Excel financial model is available for Republic Services (RSG). This model provides a detailed forecast horizon from FY2026 to FY2030, allowing for in-depth analysis of the company's financial performance.