# Starbucks (SBUX) Forecast Calculator

Interactive five-year financial forecast and DCF for Starbucks. Adjust revenue growth, margins, capex, and WACC to update revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value.

- Canonical: https://finamodel.com/companies/starbucks/forecast
- Industry: Consumer
- Forecast start year: 2026

## Historical data

| Year | Revenue | Free cash flow | EBITDA | Net income |
|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| 2021 | 26508600000 | 3240400000 | 5527200000 | 3599200000 |
| 2022 | 23518000000 | 114200000 | 3064900000 | 928300000 |
| 2023 | 29060600000 | 4519100000 | 6396200000 | 4199300000 |
| 2024 | 32250300000 | 2556000000 | 6147200000 | 3281600000 |
| 2025 | 35975600000 | 3675100000 | 7321100000 | 4124500000 |

## Frequently asked questions

### What is Starbucks' primary business model and how does it operate?

Starbucks Corporation is the premier global roaster, marketer, and retailer of specialty coffee, operating over 41,000 stores worldwide. The company utilizes a hybrid business model, blending asset-heavy company-operated stores that provide high control and revenue with asset-light licensed stores that yield high-margin royalty income.

### How does Starbucks generate its revenue across different business segments?

Starbucks generates the majority of its revenue, approximately 74%, from its North America segment. The International segment contributes about 21% of revenue, with the remaining 5% coming from Channel Development.

### What is the assumed revenue growth rate in the Starbucks financial model?

The financial model for Starbucks assumes a revenue growth rate of approximately 7.93%. This assumption is a key input for projecting the company's future cash flows and earnings over the forecast horizon.

### What is the purpose of the Starbucks financial model and its forecast period?

The Starbucks financial model projects the company's future cash flows and earnings to determine its intrinsic equity value. This analysis helps equity research analysts decide if the 'Back to Starbucks' turnaround strategy justifies a Buy rating, with a forecast horizon extending from FY2026 to FY2030.

### How does Starbucks manage its working capital and what is its profile?

Starbucks operates with structural negative working capital, meaning its current liabilities exceed its current assets. The company effectively funds growth through its Stored Value Card liability, which represents customer deposits on the Starbucks app and acts as an interest-free loan.

### Can I download an Excel financial model for Starbucks (SBUX) to analyze its financials?

Yes, a downloadable Excel financial model is available for Starbucks (SBUX). This general corporate model is designed to project the company's future cash flows and earnings to determine its intrinsic equity value.