# Texas Instruments (TXN) Forecast Calculator

Interactive five-year financial forecast and DCF for Texas Instruments. Adjust revenue growth, margins, capex, and WACC to update revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value.

- Canonical: https://finamodel.com/companies/texas-instruments/forecast
- Industry: Technology
- Forecast start year: 2026

## Historical data

| Year | Revenue | Free cash flow | EBITDA | Net income |
|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| 2021 | 14383000000 | 5802000000 | 6431000000 | 5017000000 |
| 2022 | 14461000000 | 5490000000 | 6627000000 | 5595000000 |
| 2023 | 18344000000 | 6294000000 | 9715000000 | 7769000000 |
| 2024 | 20028000000 | 5923000000 | 11065000000 | 8749000000 |
| 2025 | 17519000000 | 1349000000 | 8506000000 | 6510000000 |

## Frequently asked questions

### What kind of semiconductors does Texas Instruments primarily produce?

Texas Instruments primarily designs, manufactures, and sells analog and embedded processing chips to electronics designers and manufacturers globally. The company operates as an Integrated Device Manufacturer (IDM), leveraging its own 300mm wafer fabrication facilities for a structural cost advantage.

### What are the main revenue drivers for Texas Instruments' business?

Texas Instruments' revenue is primarily driven by its Analog and Embedded Processing segments, which constitute 79% and 15% of revenue respectively. Key end markets contributing to sales include Industrial and Automotive sectors, each representing 33% of the company's total revenue.

### How is Texas Instruments' capital expenditure expected to change in the near future?

Texas Instruments is nearing the end of a six-year elevated capital expenditure cycle related to its 300mm manufacturing capacity buildout. Management anticipates capex to decrease significantly from elevated levels (e.g., $4.55 billion in FY2025) to a range of $2.0 billion to $3.0 billion in FY2026.

### What is Texas Instruments' approach to inventory management and its impact on working capital?

Texas Instruments intentionally maintains a high Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO), targeting 150 to 250 days, to ensure high customer service levels. This strategy results in positive net working capital, which requires cash investment during growth phases due to the substantial inventory buffer.

### What is the primary purpose of the Texas Instruments financial model and its forecast horizon?

The Texas Instruments financial model provides a comprehensive 3-statement forecast and discounted cash flow valuation for the company. Its main purpose is to help equity analysts assess the free cash flow inflection as the company exits its elevated 300mm fab capital expenditure cycle, with a forecast horizon from FY2026 to FY2030.

### Can I download an Excel financial model for Texas Instruments, and what type of model is it?

Yes, an Excel financial model for Texas Instruments is available for download. It is a general corporate model family that includes a comprehensive 3-statement forecast and discounted cash flow valuation.