# Modulr Financial Model

API-first embedded payments platform enabling enterprises and FinTechs to build, scale, and monetise business money flows without holding their own banking licence.

- Canonical: https://finamodel.com/startups/modulr
- Excel download: https://finamodel.com/startup-models/modulr.xlsx
- Category: Fintech
- Model type: SaaS ARR / Valuation
- Funding round: Series A
- Funding: $108M
- Founded: 2022
- Geography: UK primary; European expansion underway (deck references UK and Europe as SAM).
- Customer: B2B

## About the company

Modulr is an API-first embedded payments platform for enterprises and fintechs that need to build and monetise business money flows without holding their own banking licence. It supports account-to-account payments, direct debit, card issuing, and open-banking use cases.

The company’s revenue is recurring and transaction-led, with annualised transaction volume serving as the central operating metric. Deep API integration creates high switching costs and gives customer expansion a meaningful role in growth.

The model should forecast customers by cohort, transaction volume by payment type, revenue yield per transaction, and net retention. Payment-processing and scheme costs must be deducted from volume-driven revenue, while new integrations and existing-customer expansion explain the path to operating leverage.

## What's included

- 5-year monthly revenue build with stage-appropriate growth assumptions
- Full P&L, headcount plan, and operating-expense schedule
- Cash-flow statement, runway, and burn-rate tracking
- Valuation via exit multiple with a DCF cross-check
- Returns analysis with MOIC and IRR
- Unit economics including CAC, LTV, payback, and cohort retention

## Product & value proposition

- Platform provides business accounts, A2A payments, card issuing, direct debit, and open banking - all initiable via a single API call.
- Positioned as a "modern FinOps hub": customers embed and monetise payments rather than leaving them to their bank, without needing to be regulated themselves.
- Key outcomes cited: lower call-centre volumes, elimination of manual-process errors, stickier customers, faster Faster Payments go-live (8 weeks vs. 1 year).
- Does not compete with payment acquirers (PayPal, Worldpay, Adyen, Square, Klarna); focus is on account-to-account and embedded money flows.
- Regulatory moat: direct Bank of England connection; active in NCA/PEFF, UK Finance Fraud Working Group, Electronic Money Association, and The Payments Association.

## Market

- Global TAM: $2,122bn payments revenue
- European TAM: $307bn
- European SAM (2025 target, existing verticals in UK + Europe): ~$50bn
- Market tailwinds cited: digital transformation, demand for real-time data, open banking regulatory change.

## Revenue model

- Revenue driven by recurring transaction fees - described as "recurring transaction revenue with high net retention rates."
- Transaction volume is the primary top-line driver; metric shown is Annualised Transaction Volume (m).
- Payment types monetised: A2A, Faster Payments, direct debit, card issuing, open banking.
- Channel: direct API integration into enterprise and FinTech customers' platforms.

## Traction & metrics

- +105% year-on-year growth in annualised transaction revenue
- Annualised Transaction Volume chart shows consistent growth from Q3 2016 through Q4 2021 (22 quarters), with an acceleration in 2020–2021. Absolute volume figures are not labelled on the y-axis - no specific numbers can be read off the chart.
- Customers include Revolut, Sage, HyperJar, iwoca, Wagestream, Salary Finance, Lending Stream, Paxport, Bubble, Ilisys, RIS, Accenture Enterprise.
- Retention rate: described qualitatively as "high net retention rates."

## Unit economics

- Net revenue retention: described as "high" - no number given.

## Competition / moat

- Legacy banks: slow, underinvested, limited digital capability.
- Acquirers (Worldpay, Adyen, PayPal, etc.): explicitly excluded from competitive frame - different product surface.
- Moat sources:
  1. Regulatory excellence - direct Bank of England settlement account, EMI licence; positions Modulr as the only embedded payments option that enterprise customers will accept.
  2. Network effects from scale - high-volume enterprise customers attract more enterprise customers.
  3. API-first multi-rail platform - breadth of payment types in a single integration creates switching costs.

## Team & funding ask / use of funds

- Use of funds: Deck references investment in Go To Market and Product as accelerants.

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## Recommended financial model

- **Archetype + why:** Transaction-volume-based payments infrastructure model (usage-based / volume-driven SaaS-adjacent). Revenue = annualised transaction volume × revenue yield per transaction. High net retention with a B2B API-embedded install base means the model should also track a customer cohort / NRR layer. A 3-statement model is secondary; the primary output is a transaction volume → revenue → EBITDA bridge.

- **Forecast horizon & granularity:** 5 years (2022–2026), quarterly for years 1–2, annual thereafter. Deck is May 2022 so base year is FY2021 actuals.

- **Key drivers & assumptions:**

| Driver | Value / Source |
| -- | -- |
| YoY transaction volume growth rate | +105% YoY stated for annualised transaction revenue; |
| Net revenue retention (NRR) | Described as "high" |
| European expansion contribution | ~$50bn SAM by 2025; |

- **Scenarios (Base / Bull / Bear - which variables flex):**
  - **Base:** Volume growth steps down from 105% → 60% → 40% → 25% → 15%; NRR 120%; take rate constant.
  - **Bull:** Growth sustains at 80% for 3 years (European expansion accelerates); NRR 130%; take rate improves as product mix shifts to higher-margin card issuing.
  - **Bear:** Growth halves to ~50% in year 1 (macro / customer churn); NRR drops to 105%; European launch delayed 12 months.
  - Primary flex variables: transaction volume growth rate, NRR, take rate, European ramp timing.

- **Required sheets / outputs:**
  1. Assumptions dashboard (all drivers in one place, scenario toggle)
  2. Transaction volume model (quarterly cohorts, new vs. existing volume)
  3. Revenue bridge (volume × yield, by payment type if data available)
  4. P&L (gross profit, EBITDA, net income)
  5. Cash flow & runway (burn rate, funding milestone)
  6. Market-share waterfall ($307bn European TAM → SAM → Modulr revenue)
  7. KPI summary (annualised transaction volume, NRR, gross margin %, EBITDA margin %)

## Frequently asked questions

### Is the Modulr financial model free?

Yes. The Modulr model is a free Excel download with live formulas.

### Can I change the assumptions?

Yes. The workbook is editable and its live formulas recalculate when assumptions change.
