Coherent Financial Model
Electronics Company Financials Example (Free Excel Download)
Coherent Corp. is a vertically integrated global leader in engineered materials, optoelectronic components, and laser systems.
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About this model
This model provides a comprehensive equity valuation and scenario planning tool for Coherent Corp. to help analysts determine the fair value of the stock based on the ongoing ramp in AI datacenter transceiver demand and the margin impacts of the FY26 segment realignment.
Coherent Corp. is a vertically integrated global leader in engineered materials, optoelectronic components, and laser systems. The company provides critical optical solutions for cloud computing, artificial intelligence datacenters, and telecommunications, alongside precision lasers and materials for industrial, automotive, and consumer electronics applications.
Effective FY26, the company realigned into two business segments: Datacenter and Communications (approximately 70% of revenue) and Industrial (approximately 30% of revenue). Coherent operates a vertically integrated, asset-heavy business model, manufacturing its own indium phosphide and silicon carbide substrates while assembling complex optical transceivers. The company holds a dominant competitive position in high-speed optical transceivers (800G and 1.6T), competing primarily with Innolight, Fabrinet, and Lumentum. Recent major events include the appointment of Jim Anderson as CEO in 2024, a $2 billion investment and supply partnership with NVIDIA, the sale of a 25% stake in its Silicon Carbide business to Denso and Mitsubishi, and the divestiture of its Aerospace and Defense business.
The downloadable Coherent financial model includes SEC-sourced historical financials, forecast assumptions, core operating schedules, and valuation outputs in an Excel workbook built for review and scenario analysis.
A turnkey financial model
Live formulas, no hardcoded values
Outputs are driven by live formulas, so the workbook updates from its assumptions instead of relying on hardcoded results.
All assumptions in one tab
Inputs are clearly marked in the Assumptions tab and separated from calculations, making it clear what to change and what to leave intact.
Statements always balancing
For integrated-statement models, the balance sheet, cash flow, and supporting schedules tie through properly.
Distinct schedules for clarity
Debt, working capital, taxes, and cash flow can get messy quickly. We group calculations in clear schedules, not across disconnected tabs.
No hidden macros or external links
There are no unexplained external workbook links or macros to undermine auditability or portability.
Changes flow through the model
Update a key driver and see the impact carry through the forecast, financing, and return outputs. We never use hardcoded numbers in formulas.
Historicals & AssumptionsCoherent financial modelCompany, Historicals & Assumptions used
Source: SEC EDGAR · values in USD
| Line item | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.32B | $5.16B | $4.71B | $5.81B | $7.12B |
| Gross profit | $1.27B | $1.62B | $1.46B | $2.04B | $2.67B |
| Cost of goods sold | $2.05B | $3.54B | $3.25B | $3.77B | $4.45B |
| Net income | $234.8M | -$259.5M | -$156.2M | $49.4M | $805.0M |
How to build a detailed financial model for Coherent
A complete walkthrough of every driver, margin, working-capital input, and capital-allocation assumption used in the downloadable model.
Revenue Deep Dive
Datacenter and Communications
- Segment name: Datacenter and Communications (Replaced Networking segment in FY26)
- Revenue driver formula: (AI/ML Transceiver Volume x High-Speed ASP) + (Telecom Component Volume x Telecom ASP)
- Historical growth rate: 25% to 40% CAGR over the last two years, driven by the AI infrastructure boom.
- Key growth levers and headwinds: The primary lever is the upgrade cycle to 800G, 1.6T, and 3.2T optical transceivers for AI clusters, supported by the NVIDIA supply agreement. Headwinds include lumpiness in traditional telecom capital expenditure and inventory digestion by major cloud service providers.
- Pricing dynamics: Contractual volume agreements with major hyperscalers, where initial high ASPs for new technologies (like 1.6T) degrade over time but are offset by manufacturing scale and next-generation product introductions.
- Revenue recognition notes: Primarily recognised at a point in time upon shipment or delivery, depending on specific contractual terms.
- Seasonality: Historically, the fiscal fourth quarter (ending June 30) is the strongest due to enterprise and cloud capital expenditure deployment cycles.
Industrial
- Segment name: Industrial (Consolidates former Materials and Lasers segments effective FY26)
- Revenue driver formula: (Laser Systems Volume x Average System Price) + (Engineered Materials Volume x Price per Wafer)
- Historical growth rate: Flat to low single-digit declines recently due to macro headwinds.
- Key growth levers and headwinds: Growth is driven by silicon carbide adoption in electric vehicles and OLED display manufacturing equipment. Headwinds include softness in the consumer electronics market and broader industrial macro uncertainty.
- Pricing dynamics: Highly competitive in legacy laser cutting tools, but Coherent commands premium pricing in specialised engineered materials (like SiC substrates).
- Revenue recognition notes: Standard point-in-time recognition for components, with some percentage-of-completion recognition for large, custom laser system installations.
- Seasonality: Less pronounced than the communications side, but generally tracks broader industrial capital expenditure cycles which peak in calendar Q4 (fiscal Q2).
Cost Structure
Variable Costs / COGS
- Line-by-line breakdown: Direct materials (semiconductor substrates, precious metals), direct manufacturing labour, factory overhead, and freight.
- Gross margin range: 32% to 38% over the last 5 years (GAAP), with recent Non-GAAP gross margins expanding to approximately 38% due to higher AI transceiver volumes.
- Key input costs and commodity exposures: Indium, gallium, silicon, and energy costs for crystal growth furnaces.
- How COGS scales with revenue: High operating leverage. The vertically integrated model means fixed factory overhead is high; as volumes scale (especially in high-margin 800G/1.6T transceivers), gross margins expand rapidly.
Operating Expenses
- R&D: Typically 9% to 10% of revenue. Crucial for maintaining leadership in silicon photonics, co-packaged optics, and next-generation laser technologies. Costs are generally expensed as incurred.
- SG&A: Typically 10% to 12% of revenue. Driven by corporate headcount, global salesforce commissions, and IT infrastructure.
- Depreciation & Amortisation: Extremely high (historically over $500 million annually) due to capital-intensive wafer fabs and massive acquisition-related intangible amortisation from the Finisar and Coherent Inc. acquisitions.
- Stock-Based Compensation: Runs at approximately 3% to 4% of revenue, standard for technology hardware peers.
- Restructuring / one-time charges: Frequent and material. The company incurred significant charges in FY24 and FY25 related to site consolidations and workforce reductions following the Coherent Inc. integration.
Margin Profile
- Gross margin: 35% to 39% (Non-GAAP).
- Operating margin: 15% to 18% (Non-GAAP).
- Net margin: 5% to 12% (Non-GAAP).
- Margin trend: Expanding. The shift in product mix toward high-margin AI datacom transceivers and the realisation of restructuring cost synergies are driving operating margin expansion.
Balance Sheet Structure
- Total assets: Approximately $14 billion.
- Key asset categories: Goodwill and intangibles, property, plant and equipment, and inventory.
- Goodwill & intangibles as % of total assets: Approximately 30% to 35%, reflecting the transformational acquisitions of Finisar and Coherent Inc.
- Working capital profile:
- Days Sales Outstanding (DSO): 60 to 70 days.
- Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO): 120 to 140 days (structurally high due to long manufacturing cycle times for crystal growth and vertical integration).
- Days Payable Outstanding (DPO): 50 to 60 days.
- Net working capital as % of revenue: 20% to 25%.
- Is working capital positive or negative? Positive. The company consumes cash for working capital as it scales revenue.
- PP&E: Consists of global wafer fabrication facilities, laser assembly plants, and testing equipment. Useful lives range from 5 to 10 years for machinery.
- Right-of-use assets / operating leases: Material, representing global office and manufacturing facility leases, typically around $200 million to $300 million.
Capital Expenditure & Investment
- Capex as % of revenue: 6% to 9%.
- Maintenance capex vs. growth capex: Approximately 30% maintenance and 70% growth.
- Major capex programmes underway or planned: Expanding silicon carbide substrate manufacturing capacity and scaling backend assembly and test facilities for 1.6T optical transceivers.
- Capitalised software / development costs: Minimal compared to physical plant investments.
- M&A pattern: Historically a transformational acquirer (Finisar in 2019, Coherent in 2022). Currently focused on organic growth, portfolio optimisation, and divestitures (Aerospace and Defense).
- Typical acquisition multiple paid: Historically paid premium multiples (e.g., the bidding war for Coherent Inc.), resulting in high goodwill balances.
Debt & Capital Structure
- Total debt: Approximately $3.68 billion as of the end of FY25.
- Debt/EBITDA ratio: Approximately 2.1x, trending downward as the company prioritises debt paydown.
- Credit rating: Non-investment grade (typically BB category).
- Key debt instruments: Senior secured term loans (Term Loan B) and senior unsecured notes.
- Maturity profile: Weighted toward the late 2020s, with mandatory quarterly principal amortisation on the term loans.
- Interest rate profile: A mix of fixed notes and floating-rate term loans (SOFR plus spread). The company uses interest rate swaps to manage floating exposure.
- Covenants: Standard maximum net leverage and minimum interest coverage ratios.
- Share repurchase programme: Currently inactive as free cash flow is directed entirely toward debt reduction.
- Dividend policy: The company does not pay a regular cash dividend.
Cash Flow Characteristics
- Operating cash flow conversion: 1.2x to 1.5x of Non-GAAP Net Income, aided by massive non-cash D&A add-backs.
- Free cash flow margin: 10% to 15% of revenue.
- Major non-cash items: Depreciation, amortisation of acquired intangibles, and stock-based compensation.
- Working capital cash flow impact: A use of cash during periods of high growth, specifically due to the inventory build required for new transceiver product ramps.
- Capex intensity: High, requiring continuous investment in fabrication equipment to maintain technological leadership.
- Cash tax rate vs. GAAP effective tax rate: Cash taxes are generally lower than the GAAP effective rate due to accelerated depreciation and R&D tax credits.
Sheet Structure
- Assumptions: Hardcoded drivers for revenue growth by segment, margin targets, working capital days, tax rates, and WACC.
- Revenue & Segment Build: Pro-forma historical bridge mapping legacy segments (Networking, Materials, Lasers) to the new FY26 structure (Datacenter & Communications, Industrial). Forecasts volume and ASP drivers.
- Income Statement: Consolidated P&L showing both GAAP and Non-GAAP views. Includes explicit lines for Amortisation of Acquired Intangibles and Restructuring Charges.
- Balance Sheet: Standard asset, liability, and equity lines mirroring the 10-K. Includes specific lines for Goodwill and Non-Controlling Interests.
- Cash Flow Statement: Indirect method starting from Net Income. Explicitly models the add-back of acquisition-related amortisation.
- Debt & Interest Schedule: Tranche-by-tranche breakdown of Term Loans and Senior Notes, calculating interest expense based on SOFR/fixed rates and tracking mandatory vs optional principal paydowns.
- Working Capital Schedule: Calculates Accounts Receivable, Inventory, and Accounts Payable based on DSO, DIO, and DPO assumptions.
- Depreciation & Amortisation Schedule: Waterfall schedules for existing PP&E, new capex, and the run-off of acquisition-related intangibles.
- DCF Valuation: Unlevered free cash flow calculation, terminal value using the perpetuity growth method, and enterprise value to equity value bridge.
Key Financial Relationships
- Datacenter & Communications Revenue = (AI Transceiver Volume x High-Speed ASP) + (Telecom Components Volume x Legacy ASP)
- Industrial Revenue = (Laser Systems Volume x Average System Price) + (Engineered Materials Volume x Price per Wafer)
- Total COGS = (Datacenter & Comms Revenue x Datacenter COGS %) + (Industrial Revenue x Industrial COGS %)
- Non-GAAP Gross Profit = Total Revenue - Total COGS (excluding stock-based compensation and amortisation)
- R&D Expense = Total Revenue x R&D Margin Assumption (historically 9% to 10%)
- SG&A Expense = Total Revenue x SG&A Margin Assumption (historically 10% to 12%)
- Interest Expense = (Average Term Loan Balance x (SOFR + Spread)) + (Senior Notes Balance x Fixed Rate)
- Non-Controlling Interest Deduction = Silicon Carbide Subsidiary Net Income x 25% (reflecting the Denso/Mitsubishi stake)
- Ending Inventory = (Total COGS / 365) x Days Inventory Outstanding
- Free Cash Flow = Cash from Operations - Capital Expenditures
- Mandatory Debt Paydown = Beginning Term Loan Balance x 1% (standard Term Loan B amortisation)
- Optional Debt Paydown = MAX(0, Free Cash Flow - Mandatory Debt Paydown - Minimum Cash Requirement)
Cross-Sheet Dependencies
- The Assumptions sheet feeds all driver-based calculations in the Revenue & Segment Build, Income Statement, and Working Capital Schedule.
- The Revenue & Segment Build feeds the top line of the Income Statement and the Accounts Receivable calculation in the Working Capital Schedule.
- The Working Capital Schedule calculates the change in net working capital, which feeds the Cash Flow Statement.
- The Depreciation & Amortisation Schedule feeds operating expenses on the Income Statement and the non-cash add-backs on the Cash Flow Statement.
- The Debt & Interest Schedule creates a circular reference: Interest Expense feeds the Income Statement, which impacts Net Income, which feeds the Cash Flow Statement, which determines cash available for Optional Debt Paydown in the Debt & Interest Schedule, which in turn changes the Interest Expense.
Sign Convention
- Revenue and Assets: Entered and displayed as positive numbers.
- Expenses (COGS, R&D, SG&A, Interest): Entered as positive numbers in their respective schedules, but subtracted in aggregate profit calculations.
- Liabilities and Equity: Entered and displayed as positive numbers.
- Cash Flow: Cash inflows are positive; cash outflows (including capex and debt paydown) are negative.
- Contra-accounts: Accumulated depreciation is entered as a positive number in the D&A schedule but subtracted from Gross PP&E on the Balance Sheet.
Things Most Likely to Go Wrong
- The company realigned segments in FY26 from Networking, Materials, and Lasers to Datacenter & Communications and Industrial; historical data requires a pro-forma bridge to be comparable.
- Coherent sold a 25% stake in its Silicon Carbide business; the model must deduct non-controlling interests from consolidated net income to accurately calculate EPS attributable to common shareholders.
- The Aerospace and Defense business divestiture must be stripped from the go-forward Industrial segment run-rate to prevent overstating future revenue.
- Acquisition-related intangible amortisation from the Finisar and Coherent Inc. deals creates a massive wedge between GAAP and Non-GAAP earnings; the model must explicitly forecast the amortisation waterfall to calculate accurate Non-GAAP EPS.
- Vertical integration means Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO) is structurally higher than non-integrated peers like Fabrinet; assuming peer-average DIO will artificially inflate operating cash flow.
- The company uses all excess free cash flow to pay down debt; failing to model optional debt paydowns will result in overstated interest expense and understated EPS.
- Stock-based compensation runs at approximately 3% to 4% of revenue; excluding it from adjusted figures flatters margins, but it must be added back to operating cash flow.
- Restructuring charges have been persistent over the last three years; while management treats them as one-time add-backs for Non-GAAP metrics, the model should account for the actual cash outflow associated with these severance and facility closure costs.
Validation Checks
- Non-GAAP Gross margin should be in the 35% to 39% range based on recent actuals; flag if outside this band.
- R&D as a percentage of revenue must remain above 9% to support the 1.6T and 3.2T transceiver product roadmaps.
- Debt/EBITDA should trend below 2.0x as the company executes its de-leveraging strategy.
- Balance sheet must balance: Total Assets = Total Liabilities + Equity in every forecasted period.
- Non-controlling interest expense should roughly equal 25% of the estimated net income of the Silicon Carbide subsidiary.
- Days Inventory Outstanding should remain above 120 days due to the vertically integrated manufacturing process.
- Operating Cash Flow to Non-GAAP Net Income conversion should be greater than 1.0x due to heavy D&A add-backs.
- Total capital expenditures should run between 6% and 9% of total revenue.
Key Assumptions (Default Values)
| Assumption | Default Value | Unit | Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|
| Datacenter & Comms Revenue Growth | 25.0 | % | Driven by NVIDIA partnership and 800G/1.6T AI transceiver demand |
| Industrial Revenue Growth | 2.0 | % | Muted growth due to macro headwinds and EV market softness |
| Non-GAAP Gross Margin | 37.9 | % | Based on FY25 actuals and ongoing cost optimisation |
| R&D as % of Revenue | 9.8 | % | Required to maintain leadership in 1.6T/3.2T optical technologies |
| SG&A as % of Revenue | 10.3 | % | Based on FY25 run-rate post-restructuring |
| Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) | 65 | Days | Historical average based on standard payment terms |
| Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO) | 130 | Days | Reflects long cycle times for vertically integrated substrate manufacturing |
| Days Payable Outstanding (DPO) | 55 | Days | Historical average based on supplier terms |
| Capex as % of Revenue | 6.5 | % | Elevated to support SiC and AI transceiver capacity expansion |
| Effective Tax Rate | 18.0 | % | Estimated long-term cash tax rate |
| WACC | 9.5 | % | Reflects high beta and current capital structure |
| Terminal Growth Rate | 3.0 | % | Aligns with long-term data consumption and industrial automation growth |
Data Sources & Benchmarks
- Filings: SEC EDGAR (Coherent Corp. 10-K, 10-Q, 8-K filings), Coherent Investor Relations page.
- Key peers for benchmarking: Lumentum Holdings (LITE), Fabrinet (FN), Innolight, and IPG Photonics (IPGP).
- Industry data sources: LightCounting (for optical transceiver market sizing and 800G/1.6T adoption rates), Yole Développement (for silicon carbide and compound semiconductor market data).
- Consensus estimates: Bloomberg or FactSet for validation of near-term revenue and EPS estimates.
Sources
Do more with the Coherent model
Frequently asked
What does Coherent Corp. (COHR) do?+
Coherent Corp. is a vertically integrated global leader in engineered materials, optoelectronic components, and laser systems. The company provides critical optical solutions for cloud computing, artificial intelligence datacenters, and telecommunications, alongside precision lasers and materials for industrial, automotive, and consumer electronics applications.
What are the primary revenue drivers for Coherent Corp.?+
Coherent's revenue is primarily driven by demand for high-speed optical transceivers (800G and 1.6T) used in AI datacenters and cloud computing. The company also generates revenue from precision lasers and materials for industrial, automotive, and consumer electronics applications, with a significant portion expected from its Datacenter and Communications segment post-FY26 realignment.
What is Coherent Corp.'s capital expenditure strategy?+
Coherent Corp. maintains a significant capital expenditure program, typically ranging from 6% to 9% of revenue. This includes approximately 70% growth capex focused on expanding silicon carbide substrate manufacturing capacity and scaling backend assembly for 1.6T optical transceivers.
How do Coherent Corp.'s working capital dynamics impact its cash flow for valuation?+
Coherent Corp. has a positive net working capital profile, consuming cash as its revenue scales due to long manufacturing cycle times for crystal growth and vertical integration. Its Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO) is structurally high at 120 to 140 days, which is a key factor to consider in cash flow projections for valuation models.
How will Coherent Corp.'s FY26 segment realignment impact its financial model?+
Effective FY26, Coherent Corp. will realign into Datacenter and Communications (70% of revenue) and Industrial (30% of revenue) segments. This realignment is a key factor for financial models, as it is expected to have specific margin impacts that analysts should consider when determining the fair value of the stock.
Can I download an Excel financial model for Coherent Corp.?+
While a comprehensive equity valuation and scenario planning tool for Coherent Corp. exists, it is not available for direct download. This model helps analysts determine the fair value of the stock based on AI datacenter transceiver demand and the margin impacts of the FY26 segment realignment.
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