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Centene (CNC) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Centene. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Centene’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$331.33B
from $140.09B
FCF FY30
$200.93B
Margin 60.6%
Enterprise value
$2.62T
18.7× LTM revenue
Equity value
$2.62T
Net debt $1.34B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
18.8%
-10.0%baseline 18.8%40.0%
Gross margin
96.3%
5.0%baseline 96.3%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
0.8%
0.0%baseline 0.8%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Centene forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Centene Corporation do?+

Centene Corporation is a leading managed care organization (MCO) focused primarily on government-sponsored healthcare programs, serving uninsured and under-insured individuals. The company operates as a health insurer, collecting premiums from states and the federal government to manage the healthcare costs of its members.

What are Centene's main revenue sources and business segments?+

Centene's primary revenue sources stem from its three main business segments: Medicaid, which accounts for approximately 55% of premium revenues, Commercial/Marketplace at about 25%, and Medicare at roughly 20%. The company generates revenue by collecting premiums from state and federal governments for managing healthcare services.

How does Centene's working capital profile affect its cash flow?+

Centene typically exhibits a negative net working capital profile, which is characteristic of its managed care business model. This occurs because the company collects premiums upfront from payers and disburses medical claims later, creating a structural cash flow advantage known as 'float'.

What is Centene's approach to capital expenditure?+

Centene's capital expenditure (Capex) as a percentage of revenue is relatively low, typically ranging from 0.5% to 1.0%. This Capex is predominantly allocated to growth initiatives, particularly in IT investments such as capitalized software for claims processing and digital member platforms.

What is the primary purpose of the Centene Corporation financial model?+

The Centene Corporation financial model is designed to evaluate the company's equity valuation and earnings power. It enables analysts to forecast the normalization of the Health Benefits Ratio post-Medicaid redeterminations, assess the margin impact of the Value Creation Plan, and project membership growth across government-sponsored healthcare segments.

Can I download an Excel financial model for Centene Corporation?+

Yes, an Excel financial model for Centene Corporation is available for download. This general corporate model provides a forecast horizon from FY2026 to FY2030, allowing for detailed financial analysis and scenario planning.

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