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Universal Health Services (UHS) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Universal Health Services. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Universal Health Services’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$18.97B
from $14.28B
FCF FY30
$3.91B
Margin 20.6%
Enterprise value
$54.82B
3.8× LTM revenue
Equity value
$50.44B
Net debt $4.39B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
5.8%
-10.0%baseline 5.8%40.0%
Gross margin
45.0%
5.0%baseline 45.0%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
5.9%
0.0%baseline 5.9%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Universal Health Services forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What services does Universal Health Services (UHS) provide?+

Universal Health Services operates as one of the largest providers of hospital and healthcare services across the United States and the United Kingdom. The company primarily offers Acute Care Services, accounting for approximately 55% of revenue, and Behavioural Health Care Services, which makes up about 45% of revenue.

What are the main revenue drivers for Universal Health Services?+

The main revenue drivers for Universal Health Services stem from its two primary segments: Acute Care Services and Behavioural Health Care Services. Growth is also driven by significant capital investment in new hospital construction, bed additions, and the expansion of outpatient behavioural health centers.

What is the assumed capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue in the Universal Health Services financial model?+

The Universal Health Services financial model assumes a Capital Expenditure (Capex) as a percentage of revenue at approximately 5.87%. This capex is roughly 60% growth-oriented, funding new facilities and expansions, while the remaining 40% covers maintenance.

What are the key revenue growth and margin assumptions used in the Universal Health Services financial model?+

The financial model for Universal Health Services incorporates a revenue growth assumption of approximately 5.85%. Key margin assumptions include Cost of Goods Sold at 55% of revenue and Selling, General & Administrative expenses at 15% of revenue.

What is the primary purpose of the financial model for Universal Health Services?+

The primary purpose of the Universal Health Services financial model is to forecast the company's consolidated revenue, EBITDA, and free cash flow. This analysis helps determine its equity valuation and assesses its capacity for continued share repurchases and facility expansion.

What forecast horizon does the Universal Health Services financial model cover?+

The downloadable Excel financial model for Universal Health Services covers a forecast horizon from Fiscal Year 2026 through Fiscal Year 2030. This model provides detailed projections for key financial metrics over this five-year period.

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