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Chevron (CVX) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Chevron. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Chevron’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$301.98B
from $196.91B
FCF FY30
$97.11B
Margin 32.2%
Enterprise value
$1.32T
6.7× LTM revenue
Equity value
$1.30T
Net debt $13.67B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
8.9%
-10.0%baseline 8.9%40.0%
Gross margin
41.2%
5.0%baseline 41.2%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
7.6%
0.0%baseline 7.6%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Chevron forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Chevron Corporation do?+

Chevron Corporation is a premier global integrated energy company engaged in every aspect of the oil, natural gas, and geothermal energy industries. Its business is divided into Upstream (exploration and production) and Downstream (refining, transport, and chemicals) segments, with Upstream generating approximately 75% of earnings.

What drives Chevron's revenue?+

Chevron's revenue is primarily driven by global commodity prices for oil and natural gas, alongside reservoir depletion rates. The company's business model is highly asset-heavy and cyclical, reflecting these market dynamics.

What is Chevron's expected capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue?+

The financial model assumes a Capex_Pct_Revenue of approximately 7.57%. The combined company expects an annual capital budget between $19 billion and $22 billion, with about 60% allocated to maintenance capital to offset natural declines.

What is the purpose of the Chevron financial model?+

The Chevron financial model projects the consolidated free cash flow, debt capacity, and equity valuation of the company. Its main purpose is to help an equity analyst determine the accretion and long-term value creation of the 2025 Hess Corporation acquisition.

Can I download an Excel financial model for Chevron?+

Yes, a downloadable Excel financial model for Chevron Corporation is available. This model provides financial projections for the company from FY2026 through FY2030.

How does the Hess Corporation acquisition impact Chevron's balance sheet?+

The Hess Corporation acquisition significantly increased Chevron's goodwill and intangibles in 2025. Post-acquisition, total assets are approximately $260-280 billion, with Properties, Plant and Equipment (PP&E) representing over 60% of this total.

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