All companies
Darden Restaurants logo
ConsumerDRI

Darden Restaurants (DRI) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Darden Restaurants. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Darden Restaurants’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$13.62B
from $10.49B
FCF FY30
$1.42B
Margin 10.5%
Enterprise value
$20.17B
1.9× LTM revenue
Equity value
$19.08B
Net debt $1.09B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
5.4%
-10.0%baseline 5.4%40.0%
Gross margin
18.4%
5.0%baseline 18.4%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
4.8%
0.0%baseline 4.8%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Darden Restaurants forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Darden Restaurants do?+

Darden Restaurants is the world's largest full-service restaurant company, operating over 2,100 locations across North America. It manages a portfolio of differentiated brands including Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse, and fine dining establishments like Ruth's Chris Steak House.

How does Darden Restaurants generate revenue?+

Darden Restaurants generates revenue primarily through its restaurant sales across brands like Olive Garden and LongHorn Steakhouse. Revenue drivers include the number of restaurants, average unit volume, and same-restaurant sales growth, influenced by menu pricing and off-premise sales.

What are the key cost assumptions in Darden Restaurants' financial model?+

Key cost assumptions in Darden Restaurants' financial model include COGS as approximately 81.6% of revenue and SGA expenses at about 4.5% of revenue. These figures are crucial for forecasting profitability and assessing the company's operational efficiency.

What is Darden Restaurants' capital expenditure strategy?+

Darden Restaurants' capital expenditure typically ranges from 5% to 6% of revenue, with approximately 55% allocated to new restaurant growth. The company plans significant capex for FY26 to open 60 to 65 new restaurants, reflecting its strategy of steady unit expansion.

How do recent acquisitions impact Darden Restaurants' valuation?+

Recent acquisitions like Ruth's Chris Steak House and Chuy's Holdings significantly impact Darden Restaurants' valuation by increasing goodwill and intangibles, which now represent 20% to 25% of total assets. These acquisitions are integrated into the financial model to assess their earnings impact and determine a target price.

Where can I find a financial model for Darden Restaurants (DRI)?+

A comprehensive equity valuation and operational forecasting Excel model for Darden Restaurants (DRI) is available for download. This model helps equity research analysts determine a target price and assess earnings impacts, with a forecast horizon extending from FY2026 to FY2030.

Have more financial modelling questions? Contact us

Go further

Build the financial model you need with Fina

Browse templates, examples, and downloadable Excel models for the analysis you are trying to build. If you can't find your model, ask Fina to build a model for your specific needs.

Start for free
Excel financial model spreadsheet preview showing Customer Rollforward
Fina interactive chat interface preview