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Ford Motor (F) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Ford Motor. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Ford Motor’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$205.31B
from $176.19B
FCF FY30
$3.72B
Margin 1.8%
Enterprise value
$51.61B
0.3× LTM revenue
Equity value
$51.61B
Net debt $0
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
3.1%
-10.0%baseline 3.1%40.0%
Gross margin
14.1%
5.0%baseline 14.1%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
4.6%
0.0%baseline 4.6%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Ford Motor forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Ford Motor Company do?+

Ford Motor Company designs, manufactures, markets, and services a full line of connected, increasingly electrified passenger and commercial vehicles. It operates through distinct customer-centered business segments, alongside a captive finance arm that supports dealer and consumer purchasing.

What are the primary revenue drivers for Ford Motor Company's main business segments?+

Ford Blue's revenue is driven by wholesale units and average net transaction price, while Ford Pro's revenue comes from commercial wholesale units, average price, and growing software subscriptions. Ford Credit generates revenue through vehicle financing and leasing activities.

What is the assumed revenue growth rate for Ford Motor Company in its financial model?+

The financial model for Ford Motor Company assumes a revenue growth rate of approximately 3.11%. This assumption helps project the company's future top-line performance over the forecast horizon.

What is the purpose of the financial model for Ford Motor Company?+

The model evaluates Ford Motor Company's sum-of-the-parts equity valuation and credit profile. It enables an analyst to assess the cash flow generation of its legacy and commercial businesses against the capital requirements and restructuring costs of its electric vehicle transition.

Is there a downloadable Excel financial model available for Ford Motor Company?+

Yes, an Excel financial model for Ford Motor Company is available for download. This model provides a detailed forecast horizon from FY2026 to FY2030 for analysis.

What is Ford Motor Company's capital expenditure strategy?+

Ford's capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue ranges from 4.5% to 5.5%, with approximately 60% allocated to growth initiatives. Major programs include BlueOval City, BlueOval SK battery plants, and the new Ford Energy battery storage business.

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