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Meta Platforms (META) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Meta Platforms. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Meta Platforms’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$302.55B
from $134.90B
FCF FY30
$54.53B
Margin 18.0%
Enterprise value
$713.49B
5.3× LTM revenue
Equity value
$726.53B
Net debt -$13.04B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
17.5%
-10.0%baseline 17.5%40.0%
Gross margin
80.5%
5.0%baseline 80.5%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
20.3%
0.0%baseline 20.3%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Meta Platforms forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What is Meta Platforms' primary business model?+

Meta Platforms builds technologies that help people connect, find communities, and grow businesses. The company operates primarily through its ad-supported social media platforms, known as the Family of Apps (FoA), and is also investing heavily in artificial intelligence and augmented/virtual reality hardware through Reality Labs (RL).

How does Meta Platforms generate its revenue?+

Meta Platforms primarily generates revenue from its Family of Apps segment, which is an ad-supported platform and accounts for approximately 98.9% of its total revenue. A smaller portion comes from its Reality Labs segment, which includes consumer hardware and software sales.

Why is Meta Platforms' capital expenditure expected to increase significantly?+

Meta Platforms is undertaking a massive pivot towards AI infrastructure, which requires substantial capital expenditure. The company has guided for FY2026 capital expenditures between $115 billion and $135 billion to support initiatives like Meta Superintelligence Labs and extensive data center expansion.

What are the key financial assumptions in Meta Platforms' financial model forecast?+

Key assumptions in the financial model include a projected revenue growth rate of approximately 17.5% and COGS as a percentage of revenue around 19.5%. Research and Development (R&D) is also a significant assumption, estimated at about 24.1% of revenue.

What is the main purpose of the Meta Platforms financial model?+

The model's primary purpose is to project Meta Platforms' future cash flows and profitability to determine its equity valuation. It specifically assesses whether the massive capital expenditure required for AI infrastructure will generate sufficient long-term returns to justify the near-term free cash flow compression.

Can I download an Excel financial model for Meta Platforms?+

Yes, a downloadable Excel financial model for Meta Platforms is available. This model provides a forecast horizon from FY2026 through FY2030, allowing for detailed analysis of the company's future financial performance.

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