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Ralph Lauren (RL) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Ralph Lauren. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Ralph Lauren’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$6.61B
from $6.44B
FCF FY30
$492.1M
Margin 7.4%
Enterprise value
$7.21B
1.1× LTM revenue
Equity value
$7.73B
Net debt -$521.7M
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
0.5%
-10.0%baseline 0.5%40.0%
Gross margin
63.4%
5.0%baseline 63.4%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
3.2%
0.0%baseline 3.2%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Ralph Lauren forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Ralph Lauren Corporation do?+

Ralph Lauren Corporation designs, markets, and distributes premium lifestyle products globally, including apparel, footwear, accessories, home furnishings, and fragrances. It operates as an omnichannel brand, transitioning towards a direct-to-consumer (DTC) model with retail stores, digital commerce, and a wholesale business.

What are the primary revenue drivers for Ralph Lauren?+

Ralph Lauren's revenue is primarily driven by its direct-to-consumer (DTC) transition, international expansion, particularly in Asia, and ongoing brand elevation through Average Unit Retail (AUR) growth. Approximately 57% of FY25 net revenues were generated outside of the United States, highlighting the importance of global markets.

What are Ralph Lauren's typical capital expenditure levels?+

Ralph Lauren's capital expenditure typically ranges from 3.0% to 4.5% of revenue, with FY25 Capex being approximately 3.0% of its $7.08 billion revenue. These investments are heavily skewed towards growth, focusing on new store openings, store renovations, and digital enhancements.

How does the financial model for Ralph Lauren determine its intrinsic value?+

The financial model for Ralph Lauren provides a comprehensive 3-statement forecast and discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation. It helps equity analysts determine the intrinsic value of the company based on its strategic initiatives like the DTC transition, international expansion, and margin expansion.

Can I download an Excel financial model for Ralph Lauren?+

Yes, a downloadable Excel financial model for Ralph Lauren Corporation (RL) is available. This general corporate model provides a forecast horizon from FY2026 to FY2030, offering detailed assumptions for analysis.

What is Ralph Lauren's strategy for growth and profitability?+

Ralph Lauren's strategy, "Next Great Chapter: Accelerate," focuses on reducing reliance on North American off-price wholesale and elevating the brand through Average Unit Retail (AUR) growth. This strategy also drives margin expansion and emphasizes an asset-lighter, direct-to-consumer (DTC) model and international expansion, especially in Asia.

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