Dollar General (DG) Financial Forecast Calculator
Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Dollar General. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Dollar General’s most recent SEC filings.
Assumptions
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Keep iterating on the Dollar General forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.
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Frequently asked
What does Dollar General do and where does it operate?+
Dollar General is the largest discount retailer in the United States by store count, operating over 20,500 small-box stores primarily in rural and suburban markets. The company provides everyday essentials at low prices across 48 US states and a growing presence in Mexico.
What are Dollar General's main revenue sources?+
Dollar General primarily generates revenue from its Consumables segment, which accounts for 82% of its total sales. Other segments contributing to revenue include Seasonal (10%), Home Products (5%), and Apparel (3%).
What is Dollar General's capital expenditure strategy?+
Dollar General's capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue typically ranges from 3.5% to 4.5%. Approximately 60% of this capex is allocated to growth initiatives like new store builds and distribution centers, while 40% is for maintenance activities such as remodels and cooler additions.
How has Dollar General managed its operating margins recently?+
Dollar General recently navigated significant margin pressure from retail shrink and inventory markdowns. The return of former CEO Todd Vasos in late 2023 aimed to stabilize operations, which contributed to a recovery in sales to $42.7 billion for fiscal 2025.
What is the purpose of the Dollar General financial model?+
The Dollar General financial model projects the company's three-statement financials to determine its intrinsic equity valuation. It also assesses Dollar General's capacity to sustain store expansion and dividend growth amidst market fluctuations.
Can I download an Excel financial model for Dollar General?+
Yes, an Excel financial model for Dollar General is available for download. This model projects the company's financials from FY2026 through FY2030 and includes key assumptions like revenue growth and COGS as a percentage of revenue.
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