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Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Archer Daniels Midland. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Archer Daniels Midland’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$8.42B
from $25.69B
FCF FY30
$539.6K
Margin 0.0%
Enterprise value
$6.50B
0.3× LTM revenue
Equity value
-$1.62B
Net debt $8.12B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
-20.0%
-10.0%baseline -20.0%40.0%
Gross margin
5.0%
5.0%baseline 5.0%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
2.9%
0.0%baseline 2.9%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Archer Daniels Midland forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) do?+

Archer Daniels Midland is a global leader in human and animal nutrition and one of the world's premier agricultural origination and processing companies. It connects crops to markets on six continents, processing oilseeds, corn, wheat, and other agricultural commodities into food, beverage, industrial, and animal feed products.

What are the main revenue segments for Archer Daniels Midland?+

Archer Daniels Midland operates through three primary segments: Ag Services and Oilseeds, which contributes approximately 75% to 80% of total revenue, Carbohydrate Solutions, accounting for 14% to 16%, and Nutrition, making up 8% to 9%. The company's extensive global footprint and processing capabilities drive its diverse revenue streams.

What is Archer Daniels Midland's typical capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue?+

Archer Daniels Midland's capital expenditure historically ranges from 1.3% to 2.0% of revenue, translating to an annual investment of $1.2 billion to $1.6 billion. Approximately 60% of this capex is for maintenance, while 40% is allocated to growth initiatives such as expanding crush capacity and investing in decarbonisation facilities.

How does net working capital impact Archer Daniels Midland's financial model?+

Net working capital for Archer Daniels Midland is positive and highly variable, requiring significant capital to fund inventory, especially when commodity prices rise. The company's working capital profile includes Days Sales Outstanding of 15 to 25 days, Days Inventory Outstanding of 40 to 50 days, and Days Payable Outstanding of 20 to 30 days.

What is the purpose of the Archer Daniels Midland financial model?+

The financial model for Archer Daniels Midland provides a comprehensive equity valuation and scenario planning tool. It is designed to assess the impact of factors such as normalizing crush margins, biofuel policy clarity, and the operational recovery of the Nutrition segment on the company's intrinsic value.

Can I download an Excel financial model for Archer Daniels Midland?+

Yes, an Excel financial model for Archer Daniels Midland is available for download. This model provides a forecast horizon from FY2026 to FY2030 and includes key assumptions for revenue growth, cost of goods sold, and other operational metrics relevant to the company's financial performance.

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