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Medtronic (MDT) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Medtronic. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Medtronic’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$32.09B
from $31.23B
FCF FY30
$9.87B
Margin 30.8%
Enterprise value
$148.97B
4.8× LTM revenue
Equity value
$125.23B
Net debt $23.74B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
0.5%
-10.0%baseline 0.5%40.0%
Gross margin
67.3%
5.0%baseline 67.3%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
4.3%
0.0%baseline 4.3%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Medtronic forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What kind of company is Medtronic and what does it do?+

Medtronic plc is one of the world's largest medical technology, services, and solutions companies, developing devices and therapies to treat over 70 health conditions. It operates a highly diversified, innovation-driven business model that relies heavily on continuous research and development.

What are Medtronic's primary revenue sources and how diversified is its business?+

Medtronic generates revenue primarily from its Cardiovascular, Neuroscience, Medical Surgical, and Diabetes portfolios. Roughly half of its revenue comes from outside the United States, making its financial performance sensitive to foreign exchange movements.

What are the key assumptions for Medtronic's financial model regarding capital expenditures?+

The financial model assumes Medtronic's capital expenditure (Capex) as a percentage of revenue is 4.279%. This capex is approximately 40% maintenance and 60% growth, focused on consolidating manufacturing sites and investing in automated production lines.

What is the purpose of the Medtronic financial model and its valuation approach?+

This model provides a comprehensive three-statement forecast and discounted cash flow valuation to help determine the intrinsic value of Medtronic plc. It also assists in assessing the financial impact of the company's ongoing portfolio restructuring and new product launches.

Can I download an Excel financial model for Medtronic (MDT) and what is its forecast horizon?+

Yes, a downloadable Excel financial model for Medtronic (MDT) is available. This model provides a forecast horizon covering fiscal years 2026 through 2030.

How does Medtronic's balance sheet structure reflect its business strategy?+

Medtronic's balance sheet is dominated by goodwill and intangible assets, which comprise approximately 60% to 65% of total assets, reflecting its history of large acquisitions. The company also maintains high inventory levels, resulting in positive net working capital that consumes cash as the business grows.

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