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Monster Beverage (MNST) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Monster Beverage. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Monster Beverage’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$13.86B
from $7.14B
FCF FY30
$2.63B
Margin 19.0%
Enterprise value
$34.75B
4.9× LTM revenue
Equity value
$35.91B
Net debt -$1.16B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
14.2%
-10.0%baseline 14.2%40.0%
Gross margin
55.7%
5.0%baseline 55.7%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
2.1%
0.0%baseline 2.1%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Monster Beverage forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Monster Beverage Corporation do?+

Monster Beverage Corporation develops, markets, and distributes energy drinks and alternative beverages globally. The company primarily operates an asset-light business model, relying heavily on third-party bottlers and co-packers, most notably The Coca-Cola Company.

What are the primary revenue drivers for Monster Beverage?+

Monster Energy Drinks account for approximately 92% of net sales, making them the primary revenue driver. The company's revenue is also driven by international expansion and its pricing power, which aims to offset domestic volume deceleration.

What is Monster Beverage's capital expenditure strategy?+

Monster Beverage's capital expenditure typically ranges from 2% to 4% of revenue, with approximately 60% allocated to growth initiatives. This growth capex primarily focuses on acquiring or upgrading strategic manufacturing facilities to reduce reliance on co-packers.

What key assumptions are used in the Monster Beverage financial model?+

Key assumptions in the financial model include a revenue growth rate of approximately 14.18% and COGS as a percentage of revenue around 44.25%. Selling, General, and Administrative expenses are assumed to be about 24.98% of revenue.

What is the purpose of the Monster Beverage financial model?+

The Monster Beverage financial model serves as a comprehensive equity valuation and scenario planning tool. It helps determine if the company's international expansion and pricing power can counteract domestic volume deceleration and structural headwinds in its Alcohol Brands segment.

Can I download an Excel financial model for Monster Beverage?+

Yes, a comprehensive Excel financial model for Monster Beverage is available for download. This model provides a forecast horizon from FY2026 to FY2030, allowing for detailed analysis and scenario planning.

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