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Sempra (SRE) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Sempra. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Sempra’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$23.91B
from $14.85B
FCF FY30
-$284.8M
Margin -1.2%
Enterprise value
$9.48B
0.6× LTM revenue
Equity value
-$22.53B
Net debt $32.01B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
10.0%
-10.0%baseline 10.0%40.0%
Gross margin
45.0%
5.0%baseline 45.0%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
40.0%
0.0%baseline 40.0%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Sempra forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Sempra do?+

Sempra is a North American energy infrastructure company that operates regulated electric and natural gas utilities, alongside a portfolio of LNG and energy infrastructure assets. Its main business segments include Sempra California, Sempra Texas, and Sempra Infrastructure, serving nearly 40 million consumers across key geographies like California, Texas, and Mexico/US Gulf Coast.

How does Sempra generate revenue?+

Sempra operates an asset-heavy, regulated rate-base utility model, generating revenue primarily from its electric and natural gas utilities in California and Texas. Additionally, its Sempra Infrastructure segment contributes through long-term contracted cash flows from LNG and Mexican infrastructure assets.

What is Sempra's capital expenditure strategy?+

Sempra has announced a record $65 billion capital plan for 2026–2030, averaging approximately $13 billion annually. Over 95% of this investment is directed towards its regulated utilities in Texas and California, targeting an 11% rate base CAGR to $97 billion by 2030.

What is the purpose of the Sempra financial model?+

The Sempra financial model provides a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) equity valuation and capital allocation analysis. It enables an equity research analyst to evaluate the earnings accretion and funding feasibility of the company's significant capital plan as it transitions to a predominantly regulated utility model.

Can I download an Excel financial model for Sempra (SRE)?+

Yes, an Excel financial model for Sempra (SRE) is available for download, covering a forecast horizon from FY2026 to FY2030. This general corporate model family is designed to assist in evaluating Sempra's financial performance and strategic capital allocation.

What are Sempra's main business segments?+

Sempra's business is divided into Sempra California, which includes SDG&E and SoCalGas and accounts for about 60% of earnings, and Sempra Texas, which is an equity method investment in Oncor contributing approximately 25% of earnings. The remaining 15% of earnings come from Sempra Infrastructure, encompassing LNG and Mexican infrastructure assets.

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