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American Electric Power (AEP) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for American Electric Power. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from American Electric Power’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$25.72B
from $19.46B
FCF FY30
$15.85B
Margin 61.6%
Enterprise value
$233.22B
12.0× LTM revenue
Equity value
$191.59B
Net debt $41.63B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
5.7%
-10.0%baseline 5.7%40.0%
Gross margin
64.8%
5.0%baseline 64.8%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
0.3%
0.0%baseline 0.3%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the American Electric Power forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does American Electric Power (AEP) do?+

AEP is a major investor-owned electric utility providing generation, transmission, and distribution services to 5.6 million customers across 11 states. It operates the nation's largest transmission network and has a highly asset-heavy, regulated business model.

How does American Electric Power generate revenue?+

AEP generates revenue primarily through its regulated operations across vertically integrated utilities, transmission and distribution utilities, and its FERC-regulated transmission-only business. Its business model relies heavily on capital investments into the grid, known as the rate base, which drives guaranteed returns on equity.

What is American Electric Power's capital expenditure strategy?+

American Electric Power has an extremely high capital expenditure profile, with capex typically representing 40-50% of revenue. Approximately 70% of this spending is allocated to growth and modernization, while 30% is for maintenance. The company recently announced a $72 billion capital plan for 2025-2029, focusing on expanding its transmission, distribution, and generation infrastructure.

What are the key focus areas of the American Electric Power financial model?+

The financial model for American Electric Power is designed for comprehensive equity valuation and earnings forecasting. It specifically focuses on analyzing rate base growth, the recovery of capital expenditures, and the impact of data center load growth on the company's regulated earnings.

Can I download an Excel financial model for American Electric Power?+

Yes, an Excel financial model for American Electric Power is available for download. This model provides a detailed tool for equity research analysts to forecast earnings and perform equity valuations for the company.

How does American Electric Power fund its growth and operations?+

American Electric Power's growth is primarily organic and funded by capital markets, rather than working capital. The company's asset-heavy business model relies on significant capital investments into its infrastructure, which are then recovered through regulated returns on equity. Recent strategic divestitures have also been used to fund these organic regulated capital expenditures.

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