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Tyson Foods (TSN) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Tyson Foods. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Tyson Foods’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$69.69B
from $52.88B
FCF FY30
$2.47B
Margin 3.5%
Enterprise value
$37.88B
0.7× LTM revenue
Equity value
$28.66B
Net debt $9.21B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
5.7%
-10.0%baseline 5.7%40.0%
Gross margin
11.1%
5.0%baseline 11.1%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
3.1%
0.0%baseline 3.1%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Tyson Foods forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What is Tyson Foods' primary business and what products do they offer?+

Tyson Foods is a leading protein company, producing beef, pork, chicken, and prepared foods. They operate a vertically integrated chicken process and are major processors for beef and pork, with brands like Jimmy Dean and Hillshire Farm.

How does Tyson Foods generate revenue across its different segments?+

Tyson Foods generates revenue primarily from its Beef (35%), Chicken (31%), and Prepared Foods (18%) segments. The company processes live animals into fresh meat cuts and manufactures branded frozen and refrigerated food products.

What are Tyson Foods' key capital expenditure assumptions in financial models?+

Tyson Foods' capital expenditure is typically modeled at 1.5% to 2.5% of revenue. Approximately 60% of this is for maintenance, with the remaining 40% allocated to growth initiatives like automation and capacity expansion.

What is a key assumption for Tyson Foods' cost of goods sold in financial projections?+

A key assumption for Tyson Foods' cost of goods sold (COGS) in financial models is approximately 88.87% of revenue. This reflects the significant input costs associated with its commodity-driven fresh meat segments.

What is the purpose of the Tyson Foods financial model and what does it assess?+

The Tyson Foods financial model projects consolidated financial statements and segment profitability to determine equity valuation. It also assesses the company's ability to generate sufficient free cash flow to cover its dividend and debt reduction targets.

Can I download an Excel financial model for Tyson Foods (TSN)?+

Yes, a downloadable Excel financial model for Tyson Foods (TSN) is available. This model provides projections for the forecast horizon of FY2026–FY2030, covering key financial statements and segment-level profitability.

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