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AppLovin (APP) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for AppLovin. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from AppLovin’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$3.98B
from $1.84B
FCF FY30
$1.88B
Margin 47.2%
Enterprise value
$26.87B
14.6× LTM revenue
Equity value
$24.06B
Net debt $2.81B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
16.7%
-10.0%baseline 16.7%40.0%
Gross margin
67.6%
5.0%baseline 67.6%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
0.2%
0.0%baseline 0.2%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the AppLovin forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does AppLovin do after divesting its Apps business?+

AppLovin now operates as a pure-play software platform, providing end-to-end advertising and AI solutions to help businesses reach, monetize, and grow their global audiences. Its business is driven by its proprietary AI recommendation engine, AXON 2.0, following the divestiture of its Apps business in June 2025.

How does AppLovin generate revenue from its advertising platform?+

AppLovin generates revenue through its asset-light, transaction-based software platform, primarily from performance advertising. Its AXON 2.0 AI engine drives this revenue by connecting advertisers with global audiences, particularly within the mobile gaming ecosystem and expanding into e-commerce.

What are the key revenue growth assumptions in AppLovin's financial model?+

The financial model for AppLovin assumes a Revenue Growth rate of approximately 16.67% for its forecast horizon. This growth is expected to be driven by the sustainability of its AXON 2.0 AI-driven Advertising segment, following the company's transformation into a pure-play software platform.

What is the main purpose of the AppLovin financial model?+

The primary purpose of this financial model is to evaluate the equity valuation and free cash flow generation profile of AppLovin Corporation. It specifically focuses on the sustainability of its AXON 2.0 AI-driven Advertising segment growth and structural margin expansion after the mid-2025 divestiture of its Apps business.

Can I download an Excel financial model for AppLovin (APP)?+

Yes, an Excel financial model for AppLovin (APP) is available for download. This model provides a forecast horizon from FY2026 to FY2030, allowing for detailed analysis of the company's future financial performance and key financial assumptions.

What is AppLovin's working capital profile?+

AppLovin exhibits a structurally negative net working capital as a percentage of revenue. This is because the company collects cash from advertisers faster than it pays out third-party publishers, creating a float that helps fund its operations.

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