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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Advanced Micro Devices. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Advanced Micro Devices’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$56.44B
from $22.68B
FCF FY30
-$233.0M
Margin -0.4%
Enterprise value
-$1.73B
-0.1× LTM revenue
Equity value
$482.4M
Net debt -$2.21B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
20.0%
-10.0%baseline 20.0%40.0%
Gross margin
45.3%
5.0%baseline 45.3%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
2.5%
0.0%baseline 2.5%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Advanced Micro Devices forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) do?+

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is a global semiconductor company that designs and develops high-performance computing and graphics solutions. The company operates a fabless business model, relying on third-party foundries to manufacture its silicon designs.

What are the primary revenue drivers for Advanced Micro Devices?+

AMD's primary revenue drivers include its Instinct AI accelerators and EPYC server CPUs, which are key components in its Data Center segment. The company also generates significant revenue from its Client and Gaming, and Embedded segments.

What is the assumed annual revenue growth rate in the Advanced Micro Devices financial model?+

The financial model for Advanced Micro Devices assumes an annual revenue growth rate of 20% (0.2). This assumption is crucial for forecasting the company's future financial performance and free cash flow generation over the FY2026–FY2030 horizon.

How does Advanced Micro Devices' fabless model impact its capital expenditure assumptions?+

Due to its fabless business model, AMD's capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue is relatively light, typically assumed to be 2.47%. This reflects investments mainly in internal testing capabilities, R&D server infrastructure, and corporate facilities rather than large manufacturing plants.

What is the main purpose of the Advanced Micro Devices financial model?+

The primary purpose of the Advanced Micro Devices financial model is to forecast the company's revenue growth, margin expansion, and free cash flow generation. This analysis ultimately aims to determine its equity valuation, with a specific focus on the ramp of its AI accelerators and EPYC server CPUs.

Can I download an Excel financial model for Advanced Micro Devices?+

Yes, an Excel financial model for Advanced Micro Devices is available for download. This model forecasts the company's performance from FY2026 through FY2030, providing detailed assumptions for revenue, costs, and capital expenditures to determine its equity valuation.

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