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Applied Materials (AMAT) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Applied Materials. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Applied Materials’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$55.87B
from $26.52B
FCF FY30
$9.98B
Margin 17.9%
Enterprise value
$133.54B
5.0× LTM revenue
Equity value
$133.41B
Net debt $127.0M
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
16.1%
-10.0%baseline 16.1%40.0%
Gross margin
45.8%
5.0%baseline 45.8%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
3.1%
0.0%baseline 3.1%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Applied Materials forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Applied Materials do?+

Applied Materials is a global leader in materials engineering solutions, providing the equipment, services, and software used to manufacture semiconductor chips and advanced displays. The company operates through three main segments: Semiconductor Systems, Applied Global Services, and Display and Adjacent Markets.

What drives Applied Materials' revenue?+

Applied Materials' revenue is primarily driven by demand for semiconductor manufacturing equipment and advanced displays, influenced by semiconductor cyclicality and AI-driven wafer fab equipment demand. The Semiconductor Systems segment accounts for approximately 73% of its revenue, with Applied Global Services contributing another 23%.

What are the key financial assumptions in the Applied Materials financial model?+

Key assumptions in the Applied Materials financial model include a revenue growth rate of approximately 16.07% and a COGS percentage of revenue around 54.21%. Other significant assumptions cover R&D, SGA, and D&A as percentages of revenue, alongside a tax rate of about 13.73%.

What is the purpose of the Applied Materials financial model?+

The Applied Materials financial model evaluates the equity valuation and free cash flow generation of the company. It helps equity research analysts determine the impact of semiconductor cyclicality, AI-driven demand, and geopolitical trade restrictions on its intrinsic value.

Can I download an Excel financial model for Applied Materials?+

Yes, an Excel financial model for Applied Materials is available for download. This model provides a forecast horizon from FY2026 to FY2030, incorporating detailed assumptions for various financial metrics.

How does Applied Materials manage its working capital?+

Applied Materials maintains a positive net working capital, which consumes cash during cyclical upswings due to massive inventory builds required for complex tool assembly. Its working capital profile includes Days Sales Outstanding of 60-70 days and Days Inventory Outstanding of 100-120 days.

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