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Delta Air Lines (DAL) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Delta Air Lines. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Delta Air Lines’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$75.56B
from $58.05B
FCF FY30
$21.10B
Margin 27.9%
Enterprise value
$295.52B
5.1× LTM revenue
Equity value
$282.91B
Net debt $12.61B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
5.4%
-10.0%baseline 5.4%40.0%
Gross margin
45.0%
5.0%baseline 45.0%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
10.8%
0.0%baseline 10.8%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Delta Air Lines forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What is Delta Air Lines' primary business?+

Delta Air Lines is one of the world's largest global network airlines, providing scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo. The company operates a hub-and-spoke system with a significant presence in key domestic and international markets.

How does Delta Air Lines generate its revenue?+

The vast majority of Delta's revenue comes from its Airline segment, primarily through passenger tickets, cargo, and loyalty programs. The company has also diversified its revenue streams through its highly profitable SkyMiles loyalty program and American Express co-brand credit card partnership.

What is Delta Air Lines' typical capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue?+

Delta Air Lines typically allocates 8-10% of its revenue to capital expenditures, with approximately $5.5 billion expected in 2026. These investments are roughly 40% for maintenance and 60% for growth or replacement, focusing on fleet renewal to improve fuel efficiency.

How is Delta Air Lines' net working capital structured?+

Delta Air Lines has a structurally negative net working capital profile, driven by large current liabilities like Air Traffic Liability and Loyalty Program Deferred Revenue. This negative working capital provides a funding advantage, as the company collects cash for services well before they are provided.

What is the main purpose of the Delta Air Lines financial model?+

The financial model projects Delta Air Lines' future cash flows and earnings. Its primary purpose is to determine the company's intrinsic equity valuation and assess its credit profile for debt repayment capacity.

Is an Excel financial model available for Delta Air Lines?+

Yes, a downloadable Excel financial model is available for Delta Air Lines. This model provides projections from FY2026 to FY2030 and includes key assumptions for revenue growth, cost structures, and capital expenditures.

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