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Allegion (ALLE) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Allegion. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Allegion’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$4.97B
from $3.65B
FCF FY30
$669.8M
Margin 13.5%
Enterprise value
$9.87B
2.7× LTM revenue
Equity value
$8.37B
Net debt $1.50B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
6.3%
-10.0%baseline 6.3%40.0%
Gross margin
42.6%
5.0%baseline 42.6%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
2.0%
0.0%baseline 2.0%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Allegion forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Allegion plc do?+

Allegion plc is a global provider of security products and access solutions, manufacturing mechanical locks, electronic security devices, and automatic doors. It serves both residential and commercial applications, with a significant presence in North America.

What are the primary revenue drivers for Allegion?+

Allegion's revenue is primarily driven by its Allegion Americas segment, which accounts for approximately 75% of total revenue, largely from North America. Growth is also supported by its asset-light manufacturing model and a growing recurring revenue component from software and electronic access control systems.

What is the assumed annual revenue growth rate in the Allegion financial model?+

The Allegion financial model assumes an annual revenue growth rate of approximately 6.35%. This projection helps forecast future cash flows and earnings for the company.

What is the purpose of the Allegion financial model?+

The Allegion financial model projects future cash flows and earnings to determine the company's intrinsic equity value. It also assesses Allegion's capacity for continued dividend growth and bolt-on acquisitions.

Where can I find a downloadable financial model for Allegion (ALLE)?+

A downloadable Excel financial model for Allegion (ALLE) is available, projecting the company's financials from FY2026 through FY2030. This model is designed to help users analyze Allegion's future performance and valuation.

How do acquisitions impact Allegion's balance sheet and growth strategy?+

Acquisitions significantly impact Allegion's balance sheet, with goodwill and intangible assets dominating its asset base, representing 55% to 65% of total assets. The company is a serial bolt-on acquirer, using M&A to expand its market presence, as seen with the Stanley Access Technologies acquisition in 2022.

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