DoorDash (DASH) Financial Forecast Calculator
Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for DoorDash. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from DoorDash’s most recent SEC filings.
Assumptions
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Keep iterating on the DoorDash forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.
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Frequently asked
What is DoorDash's core business model?+
DoorDash operates a local commerce platform that connects consumers with merchants and independent contractors (Dashers). Its asset-light, transaction-based model generates revenue primarily through merchant commissions and consumer fees for the delivery of various goods.
How does DoorDash generate its revenue?+
DoorDash's consolidated revenue is driven by Marketplace Gross Order Value (GOV), which is calculated from total orders and average order value. Revenue is then derived by applying a net revenue margin to the Marketplace GOV, consisting of merchant commissions and consumer fees.
What is DoorDash's capital expenditure strategy?+
DoorDash maintains a very light capital expenditure profile, with Capex_Pct_Revenue assumed at 0.03844713545270722 in the financial model. This capex is almost entirely growth-oriented, focusing on capitalized software development and building out new DashMart micro-fulfillment centers.
What are the key assumptions in DoorDash's financial forecast?+
Key assumptions in DoorDash's financial model include a Revenue_Growth of 0.2 (20%) and COGS_Pct_Revenue at approximately 52.4%. The model also assumes RD_Pct_Revenue at 11.24% and SGA_Pct_Revenue at 19%, which are critical for projecting future profitability.
Why is DoorDash's net working capital structurally negative?+
DoorDash's net working capital is structurally negative because it collects cash from consumers immediately via credit card payments. This cash is held for a period before being remitted to merchants and Dashers, providing a float that effectively funds operations.
Can I download an Excel financial model for DoorDash?+
Yes, a downloadable Excel financial model is available for DoorDash, projecting future cash flows and profitability through FY2030. This model helps equity research analysts assess the company's valuation and determine investment recommendations.
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