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Generac (GNRC) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Generac. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Generac’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$8.53B
from $4.02B
FCF FY30
$1.55B
Margin 18.1%
Enterprise value
$20.75B
5.2× LTM revenue
Equity value
$19.78B
Net debt $968.3M
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
16.2%
-10.0%baseline 16.2%40.0%
Gross margin
35.7%
5.0%baseline 35.7%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
2.7%
0.0%baseline 2.7%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Generac forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Generac Holdings Inc. do?+

Generac Holdings Inc. designs, manufactures, and provides energy technology solutions and backup power generation equipment for residential, commercial, and industrial markets. They are known for pioneering the residential standby generator category and have expanded into energy storage, energy management, and grid services.

What are the primary revenue drivers for Generac?+

Generac's revenue is primarily driven by residential products, which contribute about 54% of sales, and commercial & industrial (C&I) products, contributing about 35%. Demand for residential products is influenced by power outage environments, while C&I growth is bolstered by data center power solutions.

What is Generac's capital expenditure strategy?+

Generac's capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue is typically between 2.0% and 3.0%. Approximately 60% of this capex is allocated to growth initiatives, such as tooling for new product lines and expanding manufacturing capacity for C&I generators to meet data center demand.

How does Generac's working capital profile impact its cash flow?+

Generac maintains a positive net working capital, which can represent a significant use of cash during growth phases. The company carries high inventory, with Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO) between 110 to 130 days, to ensure product availability during unpredictable power outage events.

Where can I find a financial model for Generac (GNRC)?+

A comprehensive equity valuation and scenario planning tool for Generac Holdings Inc. is available for download, with a forecast horizon from FY2026 to FY2030. This Excel model allows analysts to forecast the recovery of residential standby generator demand and the rapid growth of Commercial and Industrial data center power solutions.

What is Generac's market position in the North American home standby generator market?+

Generac holds a dominant competitive position in the North American home standby generator market, with an estimated 70 to 75 percent market share. They compete against firms like Cummins and Briggs & Stratton in this segment.

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