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Genuine Parts (GPC) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Genuine Parts. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Genuine Parts’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$32.60B
from $23.09B
FCF FY30
$1.65B
Margin 5.1%
Enterprise value
$23.37B
1.0× LTM revenue
Equity value
$20.23B
Net debt $3.13B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
7.1%
-10.0%baseline 7.1%40.0%
Gross margin
34.7%
5.0%baseline 34.7%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
1.5%
0.0%baseline 1.5%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Genuine Parts forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Genuine Parts Company (GPC) do?+

Genuine Parts Company (GPC) is a leading global distributor of automotive and industrial replacement parts, operating through North America Automotive, Industrial Parts Group, and International Automotive segments. The company utilizes an asset-light distribution model, relying on a vast hub-and-spoke supply chain and extensive supplier relationships, primarily under the NAPA brand.

What are the primary revenue drivers for Genuine Parts Company?+

GPC's revenue is primarily driven by its global distribution of automotive and industrial replacement parts across its three main business segments. Additionally, serial bolt-on acquisitions typically contribute 1-2% to top-line growth annually by expanding its network of independent NAPA stores and regional industrial distributors.

What is the assumed revenue growth rate in the Genuine Parts Company financial model?+

The financial model for Genuine Parts Company assumes a revenue growth rate of approximately 7.14%. This forecast covers the period from FY2026 to FY2030, reflecting the company's operational trajectory and acquisition strategy.

How does Genuine Parts Company's working capital profile impact its financial model and valuation?+

Genuine Parts Company's working capital profile is characterized by low to slightly negative net working capital as a percentage of revenue. This is due to the company's heavy utilization of supplier financing and extended payment terms, which allows it to fund inventory growth largely through accounts payable. This efficient working capital management can positively influence cash flow generation in a financial model.

Can I download an Excel financial model for Genuine Parts Company?+

Yes, an Excel financial model for Genuine Parts Company is available for download. This model provides a forecast horizon from FY2026 to FY2030 and evaluates the sum-of-the-parts equity valuation and standalone capital structure viability.

What is the purpose of the Genuine Parts Company financial model, especially regarding its strategic plans?+

The financial model for Genuine Parts Company evaluates the sum-of-the-parts equity valuation and standalone capital structure viability. This is particularly relevant ahead of its planned 2027 tax-free spin-off of the Industrial Parts Group, which represents a major strategic shift for the company.

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