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Lennox International (LII) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Lennox International. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Lennox International’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$6.97B
from $4.98B
FCF FY30
$572.5M
Margin 8.2%
Enterprise value
$8.14B
1.6× LTM revenue
Equity value
$7.41B
Net debt $732.5M
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
7.0%
-10.0%baseline 7.0%40.0%
Gross margin
28.7%
5.0%baseline 28.7%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
2.9%
0.0%baseline 2.9%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Lennox International forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Lennox International do?+

Lennox International is a leading global provider of climate control solutions, specializing in the design and manufacture of heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration (HVACR) equipment. The company primarily operates in North America through its Home Comfort Solutions and Building Climate Solutions segments.

What are the main revenue drivers for Lennox International's Home Comfort Solutions segment?+

Revenue for the Home Comfort Solutions segment is driven by unit volume, average selling price, and parts & accessories revenue. A primary growth lever is the regulatory transition to low-GWP refrigerants, which stimulates replacement cycles for existing equipment.

What is Lennox International's typical capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue?+

Lennox International's capital expenditure typically runs between 2.0% and 3.0% of revenue, with recent capex programs including a new commercial factory and retooling lines for low-GWP refrigerant products. This investment is roughly split equally between maintenance and growth initiatives.

What are the key cost assumptions used in the Lennox International financial model?+

The financial model for Lennox International assumes Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) at approximately 71.27% of revenue, Research & Development (R&D) at about 1.82% of revenue, and Selling, General & Administrative (SGA) expenses at roughly 14.48% of revenue. These percentages are crucial for forecasting the company's operational profitability.

What is the purpose of the Lennox International financial model?+

The Lennox International financial model is designed to forecast the company's future cash flows and determine its intrinsic equity value. This analysis helps equity research analysts issue informed buy, hold, or sell recommendations based on the company's financial trajectory and strategic execution.

Can I download an Excel financial model for Lennox International (LII)?+

Yes, an Excel financial model for Lennox International (LII) is available for download. This model provides a comprehensive forecast of the company's financial performance, covering the period from FY2026 through FY2030.

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