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Live Nation Entertainment (LYV) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Live Nation Entertainment. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Live Nation Entertainment’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$52.97B
from $22.73B
FCF FY30
$7.61B
Margin 14.4%
Enterprise value
$101.56B
4.5× LTM revenue
Equity value
$101.21B
Net debt $342.6M
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
18.4%
-10.0%baseline 18.4%40.0%
Gross margin
45.0%
5.0%baseline 45.0%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
4.1%
0.0%baseline 4.1%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Live Nation Entertainment forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What is Live Nation Entertainment's core business model?+

Live Nation Entertainment operates as the world's largest vertically integrated live entertainment company. It promotes concerts, operates venues, manages ticketing through Ticketmaster, and sells brand sponsorships and advertising globally.

How does Live Nation Entertainment generate revenue across its business segments?+

Live Nation generates the majority of its revenue (approximately 83%) from its Concerts segment, which includes promoting live music events and operating venues. Additional revenue streams come from its high-margin Ticketing segment (12%) and extremely high-margin Sponsorship & Advertising segment (5%).

What is Live Nation Entertainment's working capital profile, and why is it significant for its financial model?+

Live Nation exhibits a massively negative net working capital profile, primarily because it collects cash for tickets months in advance of shows. This significant financial advantage allows the company to fund operations and expansion without requiring external capital.

What are the key assumptions regarding capital expenditures in a Live Nation Entertainment financial model?+

Capital expenditures for Live Nation are assumed to be approximately 3.5-4.5% of revenue annually, with roughly 60% allocated to growth initiatives like Venue Nation expansion and building new amphitheaters. The remaining 40% covers maintenance for existing venues and ticketing software development.

What is the primary purpose of a financial model for Live Nation Entertainment?+

The primary purpose of a Live Nation Entertainment financial model is to provide a comprehensive equity valuation and scenario planning tool for analysts. It is specifically designed to assess the cash flow impacts of events like the March 2026 DOJ antitrust settlement against the underlying structural growth in global live music demand.

Can I download an Excel financial model for Live Nation Entertainment, and what forecast period does it cover?+

Yes, a downloadable Excel financial model is available for Live Nation Entertainment. This general corporate model provides forecasts spanning from fiscal year 2026 through fiscal year 2030, offering a detailed outlook on the company's future financials.

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