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Pool (POOL) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Pool. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Pool’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$11.01B
from $5.54B
FCF FY30
$915.2M
Margin 8.3%
Enterprise value
$12.43B
2.2× LTM revenue
Equity value
$11.53B
Net debt $904.8M
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
14.7%
-10.0%baseline 14.7%40.0%
Gross margin
29.9%
5.0%baseline 29.9%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
0.8%
0.0%baseline 0.8%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Pool forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Pool Corporation (POOL) do?+

Pool Corporation is the world's largest wholesale distributor of swimming pool supplies, equipment, and related leisure products. The company operates a vast network of sales centers, serving pool builders, retail stores, and service companies primarily across North America.

What are the primary revenue drivers for Pool Corporation?+

Pool Corporation's revenue is driven by three distinct end-market activities: maintenance and minor repair (approximately 64%), renovation and remodel (approximately 22%), and new pool construction (approximately 14%). New pool construction is highly discretionary and tied to housing starts and interest rates, while maintenance is non-discretionary.

What is Pool Corporation's typical capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue?+

Pool Corporation's capital expenditure typically ranges from 1.0% to 1.5% of revenue. This capex is roughly 40% for maintenance, covering fleet and warehouse upkeep, and 60% for growth, including new greenfield locations and technology investments.

How does Pool Corporation's working capital profile affect its cash flow?+

Pool Corporation exhibits a positive working capital dynamic, consuming significant cash to build inventory in the winter and spring ahead of the peak season. Conversely, the company generates substantial cash flow in the summer and autumn as receivables are collected and inventory levels are drawn down.

Can I download a financial model for Pool Corporation (POOL)?+

Yes, a comprehensive equity valuation and scenario analysis Excel model for Pool Corporation (POOL) is available for download. This model allows analysts to forecast earnings and cash flow based on the critical mix shift between stable maintenance revenues and highly cyclical new pool construction volumes.

What are the key asset categories on Pool Corporation's balance sheet?+

Inventory is the largest asset category for Pool Corporation, typically ranging from $1.3 billion to $1.5 billion, followed by receivables. Goodwill and intangibles also represent a material portion, making up approximately 15% to 20% of total assets.

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