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Dell Technologies (DELL) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Dell Technologies. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Dell Technologies’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY31
$93.15B
from $88.42B
FCF FY31
$4.53B
Margin 4.9%
Enterprise value
$77.54B
0.9× LTM revenue
Equity value
$56.61B
Net debt $20.93B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
1.0%
-10.0%baseline 1.0%40.0%
Gross margin
23.0%
5.0%baseline 23.0%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
2.9%
0.0%baseline 2.9%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Dell Technologies forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Dell Technologies do?+

Dell Technologies is a global provider of IT hardware, software, and service solutions. The company designs, develops, manufactures, and supports a comprehensive portfolio including traditional and AI-optimised servers, enterprise storage, and personal computers.

What are Dell Technologies' primary revenue sources?+

Dell Technologies generates revenue primarily through its Client Solutions Group (CSG), accounting for approximately 50%, and its Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG), contributing about 45%. The remaining 5% comes from Other Businesses, including Dell Financial Services.

How does Dell Technologies' capital expenditure strategy impact its financial model?+

Dell Technologies maintains a very asset-light business model, with capital expenditure typically ranging from 1.0% to 1.5% of revenue. This low capex is due to largely outsourced manufacturing, with investments focused on maintenance and growth areas like AI lab infrastructure.

What are the key considerations for valuing Dell Technologies in a financial model?+

Key considerations for valuing Dell Technologies include the trade-off between massive revenue growth from AI-optimised servers and potential gross margin dilution. The cyclical recovery of the commercial PC market is also a significant factor influencing future cash flow generation and equity valuation.

Can I download a financial model for Dell Technologies?+

Yes, a downloadable Excel model is available for Dell Technologies. This model evaluates the company's equity valuation and cash flow generation, with a forecast horizon from FY2027 to FY2031.

How does Dell Technologies' working capital profile affect its cash flow?+

Dell Technologies operates with a negative cash conversion cycle, meaning it typically collects cash from customers before paying its suppliers. This efficient working capital dynamic allows the company to generate free cash flow as it grows, funding operations without significant external capital.

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