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Dow (DOW) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Dow. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Dow’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$46.80B
from $44.62B
FCF FY30
$4.50B
Margin 9.6%
Enterprise value
$70.26B
1.6× LTM revenue
Equity value
$57.04B
Net debt $13.22B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
1.0%
-10.0%baseline 1.0%40.0%
Gross margin
14.7%
5.0%baseline 14.7%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
3.8%
0.0%baseline 3.8%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Dow forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What kind of products does Dow Inc. produce?+

Dow Inc. is a global materials science company that produces plastics, chemicals, and agricultural products. These products are used in various applications such as packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer goods.

How does Dow Inc. generate its revenue across different segments?+

Dow Inc. generates revenue primarily through its Packaging & Specialty Plastics (approximately 51%), Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure (approximately 28%), and Performance Materials & Coatings (approximately 20%) segments. The company's business model is highly asset-heavy and cyclical, relying on large-scale chemical production.

What is Dow Inc.'s typical capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue?+

Dow Inc. typically invests 5% to 7% of its revenue in capital expenditures. Approximately 60% of this capex is for maintenance and turnarounds, while 40% is allocated to growth and sustainability initiatives.

What are some key financial assumptions used in the Dow Inc. financial model?+

The financial model for Dow Inc. assumes a revenue growth rate of approximately 0.96% and COGS as a percentage of revenue around 85.25%. Other key assumptions include SGA at 3.42% and D&A at 6.03% of revenue.

What is the purpose of the financial model for Dow Inc.?+

The financial model provides a full three-statement forecast and discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation for Dow Inc. Its purpose is to help an equity analyst determine the intrinsic value of the company across various macroeconomic and commodity cycle scenarios.

Is an Excel financial model available for Dow Inc. and what is its forecast horizon?+

Yes, a downloadable Excel financial model is available for Dow Inc. This model provides a forecast horizon covering fiscal years 2026 through 2030.

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