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Ball (BALL) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Ball. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Ball’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$12.84B
from $12.06B
FCF FY30
$863.0M
Margin 6.7%
Enterprise value
$14.59B
1.2× LTM revenue
Equity value
$9.61B
Net debt $4.98B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
1.3%
-10.0%baseline 1.3%40.0%
Gross margin
19.3%
5.0%baseline 19.3%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
9.6%
0.0%baseline 9.6%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Ball forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What is Ball Corporation's primary business focus after its recent transformation?+

Ball Corporation is now a pure-play global aluminum packaging company, primarily manufacturing recyclable aluminum beverage containers. It serves major beverage, personal care, and household brands worldwide.

How does Ball Corporation generate revenue, and what are its main business segments?+

Ball Corporation generates revenue primarily through the sale of aluminum beverage containers, operating an asset-heavy manufacturing business model with long-term supply contracts. Its main segments include Beverage Packaging in North/Central America, EMEA, and South America, alongside other packaging products.

What is the typical capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue for Ball Corporation?+

Ball Corporation's capital expenditure as a percentage of revenue is typically 4% to 6% in a normalized environment. This figure peaked at over 10% during a recent capacity buildout from 2020 to 2022.

What is the main purpose of the financial model for Ball Corporation?+

The financial model aims to forecast Ball Corporation's free cash flow and evaluate its equity valuation. This helps determine if the stock is an attractive investment following its transformation into a pure-play global aluminum packaging company.

Can I download an Excel financial model for Ball Corporation?+

Yes, an Excel financial model for Ball Corporation is available for download. This model forecasts the company's financials from FY2026 through FY2030.

How did Ball Corporation's recent divestiture impact its financial structure?+

The February 2024 sale of its Aerospace business for $5.6 billion allowed Ball Corporation to significantly reduce debt. The after-tax proceeds of $4.5 billion also funded a large share repurchase program, transforming the company into a pure-play aluminum packaging entity.

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