ExxonMobil (XOM) Financial Forecast Calculator
Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for ExxonMobil. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from ExxonMobil’s most recent SEC filings.
Assumptions
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Keep iterating on the ExxonMobil forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.
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Frequently asked
What is ExxonMobil's primary business model and how does it generate revenue?+
ExxonMobil is a multinational integrated oil and gas corporation that explores for, produces, and refines crude oil and natural gas, while also manufacturing petroleum products and basic petrochemicals. Its revenue is generated through the sale of these products across its four primary segments: Upstream, Energy Products, Chemical Products, and Specialty Products.
What are the main segments contributing to ExxonMobil's earnings?+
ExxonMobil's earnings are primarily driven by its Upstream segment, which accounts for approximately 70% of earnings in a mid-cycle price environment. The Energy Products segment contributes 15%, Chemical Products 10%, and Specialty Products 5%, showcasing its diversified integrated structure.
What is ExxonMobil's capital expenditure strategy and what are its key investment areas?+
ExxonMobil's capital expenditure typically represents 6-8% of its massive revenue, with annual guidance between $22 billion and $27 billion. Approximately 60% of this capex is allocated to growth projects, focusing on Guyana offshore developments, Permian Basin drilling, and low-carbon initiatives like carbon capture.
What are some key financial assumptions used in the ExxonMobil financial model?+
The ExxonMobil financial model uses a revenue growth assumption of approximately 7.76% and forecasts COGS as 55% of revenue. Other important assumptions include SGA at about 3.75% of revenue, DA at 10.36% of revenue, and a tax rate of approximately 25.09%.
How does the financial model evaluate ExxonMobil's equity valuation and dividend sustainability?+
The financial model forecasts integrated cash flows under various commodity price scenarios to evaluate dividend sustainability, share repurchase capacity, and overall equity valuation for ExxonMobil. This helps assess the company's ability to generate returns for shareholders and maintain its financial health.
Is an Excel financial model available for download to analyze ExxonMobil's forecasts?+
Yes, an Excel financial model for ExxonMobil is available for download. This model provides forecasts for the period FY2026–FY2030, allowing users to analyze integrated cash flows and various financial assumptions for the company.
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