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Gartner (IT) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Gartner. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Gartner’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$8.93B
from $5.91B
FCF FY30
$1.47B
Margin 16.5%
Enterprise value
$20.93B
3.5× LTM revenue
Equity value
$19.17B
Net debt $1.76B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
8.6%
-10.0%baseline 8.6%40.0%
Gross margin
67.4%
5.0%baseline 67.4%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
3.0%
0.0%baseline 3.0%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Gartner forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What does Gartner do and how does it make money?+

Gartner, Inc. is the world's leading research and advisory company, providing objective insights, tools, and advice to executives across enterprise technology, business strategy, and operational functions. The company operates a highly lucrative, asset-light subscription business model where clients pay upfront for annual access to proprietary research, analyst inquiries, and benchmarking data.

What are Gartner's main revenue segments and how do they contribute?+

Gartner operates through three primary segments: Business and Technology Insights (approximately 80% of revenue), Conferences (approximately 10%), and Consulting (approximately 10%). Geographically, the United States and Canada generate roughly 62% of revenue, with EMEA contributing 26% and Other International markets 12%.

What is Gartner's capital expenditure strategy?+

Gartner's capital expenditure is minimal, typically 2.0% to 3.0% of revenue, and is almost entirely focused on growth and efficiency. This includes investments in internal technology systems, capitalized software development, and AI-augmented tools to improve analyst productivity.

Why does Gartner have negative net working capital, and what does it mean for the company?+

Gartner has deeply negative net working capital, typically -20% to -30% of revenue, because it collects cash upfront for 12-month subscriptions. This structural advantage means that business growth generates immediate cash flow for the company.

What is the primary purpose of the Gartner financial model?+

The Gartner financial model evaluates the company's equity valuation and free cash flow generation capacity. Its main purpose is to help an equity research analyst determine the intrinsic value of Gartner's shares, with a focus on subscription contract value growth, deferred revenue dynamics, and aggressive share repurchases.

Can I download an Excel financial model for Gartner?+

Yes, a downloadable Excel financial model for Gartner (ticker: IT) is available. This model provides a forecast horizon from FY2026 to FY2030, allowing for detailed analysis of the company's future financial performance.

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