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Hershey (HSY) Financial Forecast Calculator

Interactive 5-year forecast and DCF for Hershey. Adjust revenue growth, gross margin, capex intensity, WACC, and terminal growth - see revenue, free cash flow, and enterprise value update in real time. Seeded from Hershey’s most recent SEC filings.

Revenue FY30
$16.97B
from $11.16B
FCF FY30
$2.75B
Margin 16.2%
Enterprise value
$38.52B
3.5× LTM revenue
Equity value
$34.49B
Net debt $4.03B
Revenue & free cash flow - history and 5-year forecast
Line (area)
Bars
Historicals from SEC EDGAR (grey). Forecast years (color) update live as you move the sliders.

Assumptions

Revenue growth (annual)
8.7%
-10.0%baseline 8.7%40.0%
Gross margin
44.8%
5.0%baseline 44.8%90.0%
Capex % of revenue
5.4%
0.0%baseline 5.4%30.0%
WACC (discount rate)
9.00%
4.0%baseline 9.0%18.0%
Terminal growth
2.50%
0.0%baseline 2.5%5.0%

Need this as an Excel model?

Keep iterating on the Hershey forecast in Excel. The downloadable sample has every assumption you see here plus a fully integrated income statement, balance sheet, cash flow, and debt schedule - five years of SEC historicals and live formulas in a fully editable workbook.

income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, brown brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, green brand palette
income_statement.xlsx
Income statement, red brand palette

Frequently asked

What is The Hershey Company's primary business?+

The Hershey Company is a global leader in confectionery and snacking, manufacturing and selling a wide range of chocolate, sweets, mints, and salty snacks. Its business is primarily focused on the North American market, holding the number one market share in U.S. chocolate.

What are the main revenue segments for The Hershey Company?+

The Hershey Company generates the vast majority of its revenue from North America Confectionery, accounting for approximately 81% of total sales. North America Salty Snacks contributes about 10%, with the remaining 9% coming from International operations.

What is a key capital expenditure assumption in The Hershey Company's financial model?+

The financial model assumes Capex as a percentage of revenue at 0.0536, reflecting the company's asset-heavy manufacturing and distribution model. This includes investments in manufacturing plants, distribution centers, and equipment, with a mix of maintenance and growth-oriented spending.

What factors are considered in the working capital profile for Hershey's valuation?+

The working capital profile for Hershey considers Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) of 25-30 days, Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO) of 60-75 days, and Days Payable Outstanding (DPO) of 50-60 days. Net working capital is generally positive, with inventory management being a critical use of cash during commodity price spikes.

Can I download an Excel financial model for The Hershey Company?+

Yes, an Excel financial model for The Hershey Company is available for download. This general corporate model provides a forecast horizon from FY2026 to FY2030, allowing users to analyze the company's future financial performance.

What is Hershey's competitive position in the market?+

Hershey holds the number one market share position in U.S. chocolate and a leading position in U.S. total confection. The company competes primarily with major players like Mars, Mondelez, and Ferrero in the global confectionery and snacking market.

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